Coming Nuclear Flashpoint (Page 2 of 4)

Why should the Pakistanis be worried? Well, you must first accept that you’ve not experienced severe and durable paranoia until you’ve experienced that of Pakistani officials and generals toward India, and vice versa. Indeed, in the midst of a nearly decade-long war in Afghanistan and a 5-year-old civil war in the country’s tribal agencies, Pew Research reported in July 2010 that its polling found 53 percent of Pakistanis view India as their number one enemy, with 27 percent naming the Taliban and 3 percent al-Qaeda. With this mindset, then, the Pakistani government and military believe that India’s expensive, extensive and growing Afghan presence is a direct and even existential strategic threat to their country.

In their one-sided confrontation with India‘s overwhelming military power, Pakistan’s political leaders and generals have long prized Afghan territory as an area where Pakistani forces can retreat and regroup if India invades from the east. This idea has long been ridiculed by Western strategists, but it’s a central tenet of Pakistan’s strategic doctrine. And now, in less than a decade, this area of limitless strategic depth has been transformed into a second military frontier with India, one that puts Pakistan in a strategic vice with Indian forces on each side.

The seriousness with which Islamabad views this issue is seen in the fact that, per the media, up to 30 percent of Pakistan’s ground forces are now stationed on the country’s western border. This redeployment degrades the country’s strength on its border with India and has been made to fight what Islamabad believes are rebellious, India-supported militants in its tribal agencies and Balochistan Province.

Pakistan’s military considers India’s embassy and consulates as intelligence centres that are running covert operations into Pakistan’s Pashtun agencies and—with the help of Indian army engineers and border police—are training, arming, funding and picking targets for Balochistan’s tribal insurgents in their low-level war against Islamabad. (NB: It’s likely that Islamabad is even now responding to its perception of India’s intervention by stepping up the tempo of the Kashmir insurgency.)

Pakistani generals also worry that India’s growing and deliberately flamboyant military ties with Israel—that the Pakistani media call the ‘Indo-Israeli nexus’—means the two countries are working together to neutralize Pakistan’s nuclear capability, and will use Afghanistan as a base from which to do so. ‘We have strong evidence,’ a Pakistani foreign ministry official said in March, 2010, ‘[that India] is using Afghanistan against Pakistan’s interests and do destabilize Pakistan.’ Now none of this need be true, of course. But it clearly is how the Pakistanis perceive the intent of India’s presence in Afghanistan. And perception is always reality.

February 23, 2012 at 12:56

Isn’t there a drffeience between a healthy and booming stock market and one that was rigged with insider trading to surge?

February 21, 2012 at 22:58

Fantastic iiotrmafnon. This exactly what I’ve been in search of. I know further individuals who’ll find this helpful as well so, I make sure you pass this along to them as well. A lot of thanks.

February 21, 2012 at 08:43

It?s rlelay helpful for me which I have ever seen.Its presented well and nicely written which easy to understand.Thank you very much for the information

November 15, 2011 at 18:17

I’m not sure where you are getting your info, but good topic. I needs to spend some time learning more or understanding more. Thanks for wonderful info I was looking for this info for my mission.

November 24, 2010 at 05:14

Ehsan Afridi, of course you Pakistanis do not want us from west to speak for your suppressed minorities, but you do want our money in billions. If you are that proud refuse to take our aid. we would be happy to see our money used to help people here to cope with economic crisis and see for yourself how long you last.

November 4, 2010 at 17:19

One contry having their nuke programme with the help of foreign aid,foreign help as well as with foreign technology.Entire world know it.

Ehsanullah Afridi
October 16, 2010 at 04:48

india supported the Tamil Tigers for over 3 decades! What are you talking about?

Pakistan sent weapons, and PAF pilots to help neutralize the problem. China also helped a lot. Thanks to us, and the bravery of Sri Lankans, tamils were crushed.

problem solved…

Ehsanullah Afridi
October 16, 2010 at 04:47

What the heck are you talking about? Pakistan’s nuclear capability and delivery systems are all Pakistani made, with Pakistani blood and sweat; yes we did receive outside assistance, but the facilities and infrastructure all is our own

maybe you need to learn more before speaking

Ehsanullah Afridi
October 16, 2010 at 04:40

What a joke! india back-stabbed Iran so many times; when they voted against Iran nuclear program @ UN (And favoured sanctions); when they helped launch israeli spy satellite; etc; not to mention when you ran away like cattle from the IPI deal due to American pressure (Pakistan and possibly China are still in)

india tends to be quite ”sissy” when confronted by pressure

Ehsan Afridi
October 16, 2010 at 04:38

Who brainwashed you? There is no Shiia Sunni rivalry. All Muslims are united and dont think this way –even though there are bad apples who do have your way of thinking.

sorry to break it to you…your divide and conquer mentality will fail miserably

Ehsan Afridi
October 16, 2010 at 04:35

What hogwash!!! The Pashtuns of Pakistan are extremely pro-Pakistan; we are known for our fierce patriotism

We don’t need westerners like you to speak on our behalf. Thanks.

as for the article, Pakistan will not allow hindustan to get influence or depth in Afghanistan. As soon as the NATOs are gone, odds will tilt in our favour. Afghanistan is our backyard –even Karzai said Afghanistan is conjoined twin of Pakistan. We are fairly well entrenched there….just need to ”ride out the waves” a little longer and see what happens! =)

John Smith
September 30, 2010 at 04:37

Here is a different approach India can take to win them all. Since Muslim nations are never at ease with each other when the external threat is absent. India can leave Afghan with NATO at the same time. After a while the quarrel about who is a good Muslim will break out between different branches of Islam, India can return to Afghan as a good mediator. This strategy will avoid the danger of nuclear flash point between India and Pakistan, as well as establish India as a good partner to all Muslim nations.

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