Japan's Shrinking ASEAN 'Soft Power' (Page 2 of 2)

Takeshita’s statement, however, greatly overstated Japan’s influence in ASEAN, which has declined ever since. The crux of Tokyo’s problems is that ASEAN members, while attracted to Japan’s economic, scientific successes, and cultural vibrancy remain ambivalent about Tokyo’s political influence. For example, a 2008 foreign ministry’s survey showed economic and technological cooperation was the top area that the public in six key ASEAN countries [Thailand, Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, the Philippines, and Vietnam] would like to see Japan become more active in, with 66 percent choosing this category. By contrast, only six percent of the ASEAN respondents were eager to see Japan enhance its military presence. This was a far cry from a power base for Tokyo.

The one-dimensional nature of Japan’s image in the region is particularly detrimental because Japan’s economic performance has progressively worsened since the 1980’s, while China’s economy has grown rapidly. Although China didn’t begin trying to woo ASEAN members in earnest until the 1997 Asian Financial Crisis-when Beijing resisted the temptation to devalue its currency- it has outpaced Tokyo in this area for much of the period since. Indeed, even though Japan contributed far more than China in numerical terms to solve the financial crisis, the latter received more praise, including from the U.S.

Here lies the core dilemma for Japan’s charm offensive: Tokyo did not intensify its effort to propagate Japan’s soft power until the country’s hard power was in relative decline. Seen from this perspective, Japan’s soft power offensive is based more on its dwindling grandeur and a lack of other viable policies. As Japan’s economic malaise is likely to continue and its politicians look incompetent. Tokyo would find it hard to justify its relevance as a model to any international audience.

Beijing’s growing assertiveness towards Southeast Asian countries seems to offer Japan a chance to present itself as an alternative to China.  But this is partially undercut by an intra-ASEAN divide between attitudes towards China and Japan. The aforementioned six-country survey shows a near-perfect intra-ASEAN divide: people in Singapore, Malaysia, and Thailand saw China as the most important partner and continued to believe it will be in the future. Meanwhile, people in Indonesia, the Philippines, and Vietnam saw Japan as the most important partner and also continued to believe so for the future (henceforth the Japan Group). This intra-ASEAN schism was once again exposed earlier this month when Cambodia, as chair of ASEAN, blocked the Filipino and Vietnamese effort of presenting a united front to Beijing on accepting a code of conduct in disputed waters.

While neither China’s nor Japan’s charm was accepted unanimously, Japan’s problem is that its future importance declines across the board. The survey shows that citizens in five of the six countries felt Beijing’s importance would grow in the years ahead (including all the Japan Group members). Even where China’s importance is expected to decline slightly in Singapore, this is due to Singaporeans believing that India’s importance will grow from 2% as a “present partner” to 24% in the future. At a mere 4%, Japan’s importance among Singaporeans is negligible.

Thus, while China’s growing assertiveness on the South China Sea issue may suggest that Beijing is abandoning its charm offensive, Tokyo’s ability to seize this opportunity is limited by its dim economic outlook and by intra-ASEAN divide.

Jing Sun is an Assistant Professor of Political Science at the University of Denver. He is the author of the forthcoming book, Japan and China as Charm Rivals: Soft Power in Regional Diplomacy (University of Michigan Press, 2012).

Comments
39

[...] Japan has long been one of ASEAN’s oldest and most important dialogue partners. Relations began warming as early as 1977, when Prime Minister Takeo Fukuda decided upon his election to improve Tokyo’s [...]

[...] 資料來源: Japan’s Shrinking ASEAN ‘Soft Power’, written by Jing Sun. [...]

[...] Japan has long been one of ASEAN’s oldest and most important dialogue partners. Relations began warming as early as 1977, when Prime Minister Takeo Fukuda decided upon his election to improve Tokyo’s [...]

Andao
January 11, 2013 at 19:57

Sarah that's a great point.  Taiwan is a fantastic place and the quality of the people is superb, at least in my experience.  Plus Ang Lee's films have made an enormous impact worldwide.
 
In a similar vein, it's interesting to see how positive Japan is viewed in Taiwan.  The article doesn't mention this, but that is one country where Japanese influence far exceeds PRC influence.

Andao
January 11, 2013 at 19:54

":I think that the disparity between the rich and poor in both communist China and North Korea is a little more than those of most democratic capitalist nations. "
 
I can't speak for NK, but China's Gini index (0.61) is VASTLY higher than any nation in the West, and about double Japan's rate.  So unfortunately, Chinese disparity is much greater than a "communist" system would lead anyone to believe.  Sort of the worst of both worlds, at this stage.

Andao
January 11, 2013 at 19:45

Samurais, video games, anime/manga…these are all very strong Japanese soft power elements

Sarah
January 6, 2013 at 20:46

Sadly no seems to be paying much attention to the power house that South Korea has become, especially in regards to soft power. Any observations on the push and pull relationship that are occurring between South Korea, Japan, and China, in terms of cultural export.
 
P.S. Where is Taiwan in all this talk, considering that the majority of '中国' soft power emanates from there.

Really???
October 24, 2012 at 17:05

@Pathetic Beway…Japan has more than sushi in terms of soft power to offer…..music, movies, clothes, modernity, technology, culture, political values (unlike China or other states in the region) but also its UN forces deployed overseas. The problem lies in disputed islands and a reluctance regarding apologing for WW2. Its economcy is falling but its society remains attractive.

silent oberver
August 22, 2012 at 18:23

oh yeah china has discovered everything tht is why japan has 19 nobel laureates out of which 16 have got it for their contribution in the field of science on the contrary china has just 10 so it shows the level of R&D infrastructure in china japanese have well known brands like toyota, JVC, sony, suzuki, honda, toshiba, nintendo, kawasaki, casio, canon to name a few how many chinese car brands sell in USA or europe many of them can't even pass through the preliminary stage of security checks so common its good to be talk positively about your country but not acknowledging others contribution is worst thing….. so go get some life Mr chan and for your Info I am not a japanese not even an asian…

filipino defender
August 21, 2012 at 12:27

if you are chinese its your country that has a problem with all of your neighbors

filipino defender
August 19, 2012 at 13:32

Again evidence?

Typhoon
August 14, 2012 at 00:35

@John Chan,
Well said. I am 100% with you especially on Point 3.
 

Dokudami
August 13, 2012 at 09:59

If you are Chinese, I believe you are too optimistic.

Cyrus
August 13, 2012 at 07:57

@JC You are the one who is a racist and keeps on spouting mendacious nonsense.

You cannot even handle that China doesn't have Suzerainty in the Philippines and we do dare to invite the United States our treaty ally and accept help from the Japanese.

You cannot seem to accept that such a weak and decrepit Armed Forces of the Philippines would actually dare to go against your powerful PLA. 

You cannot seem to accept to argue rationally against the merits of the Philippine Claims on these island but would go on and on spouting Chinese Communist Propaganda.

JC as Jesus Christ once said "Let the one without sin cast the first stone". I would suggest you review all your past comments and look who is the most racist close minded bigot on these forums. I would pray that you mind would be opened to the realities of the world.

PS China is not successful what is successful is a country who was once a COLONY and young at that to be able to become a Global Hegemon and is the champion of DEMOCRACY.

Dan
August 12, 2012 at 15:49

John.

Mao’s “Great leap forward” Worst man mad disaster in History, 45 million in four years, not so much from evil as sheer stupidity. Yet he’s the CCP’s poster boy, and you are saying that this is the superior model, setting an example to the world. Please…

Dan
August 12, 2012 at 15:38

Actually john one might argue that the world has progressivly better in the last 300 years. Particularly in the last 60 the world has become more stable, and in fact we are in the most peaceful times ever, fact!. This has very little to do with China, infact China is the one that has benefitted greatly from alot of this progression. John I ask you this simple quesition, without adopting capitalism and opening up allowing the U.S to set up shop, do you think that China would be the industrial powerhouse that is today?

Also John looking forward it seems that as China progesses it does so through adopting more and more western approaches to business and innovation. I also would ask as CCP’s elites start to question the cracks in their “superier” systems, what sorts of polictical reforms a likley to shape China? I would say that it is going to become more like a western democracy and further away from Mao’s ideals and values. It is fact that Mao has killed more Chinese than any western imperialist, yet the CCP’s whitewashed version of history paints him as some sort of national hero, responsible for the prosperity that you enjoy today. The prosperous China that exists today was through the natural progression of democracy and capitalists systems that although not perfect are better than any alternative and so have been adopted buy all progressive and modernized societies including China.

John Chan
August 12, 2012 at 01:36

@Aki,
Here are some fallacies in your comment:
1. In Japan, the Japanese said 部落民 were dirty because they do dirty work that the 大和民族 won’t do, such as slaughtering, so they outcast 部落民 to ghetto. The Japanese also said Koreans were smelly because their liking of garlic, so Japanese outcast Koreans to ghetto too. Noisy, dirty, smelly, etc. are the rationales for the Japanese to justify they racial discrimination behaviour, or they like to called it unique Japanese tradition like commercial whaling in the name of science research.
2. China has surpassed Japan in very aspect of measurements, economy, space exploration, and R&D. Perhaps the reason of Japan’s failing and falling is Japanese only knows hard working but does not know working smartly. Japanese working habit definitely is a negative model for everyone not to follow.
3. Japanese is the last people in the world that entitles to bad mouth China in terms of violating IP rights. Nearly everything in Japan you can see is copied, counterfeited, stolen and cheated from China one way or another without paying royalty.

John Chan
August 11, 2012 at 20:53

I would ask the North Koreans how communism is working for them. Really John your bagging capitalism!!! lol the only reason China has closed the gap is through adopting capitalism. I think that the disparity between the rich and poor in both communist China and North Korea is a little more than those of most democratic capaitalist nations. 
You may have heard the saying "So bad its good" however i don't think that this applies to areas of political argument. 

John Chan
August 11, 2012 at 12:23

@Dan,
My comments may be pot calling the kettle black, but the anti-China clique is not allowing the pot calling the kettle black, they insist their ugly, dirty and black kettle is clean.
 
It seems you are totally ignoring the point of contest here; the point of contest is lack of objectivity on this site. For example your criticism is one sided, you focus on me alone, yet you ignore the bad behaviour of the anti-China bloggers; when I protest unfair treatment of China, right away you label my comments “are the most sour, contested, nationalistic and unashamably bias towards China.”
 
Your comment just demonstrates westerner’s way to seduce people into submission, when people do not subscribe the West’s point of view or value, the westerners will label you “you are not listening,” “you do not have an open minded,” or “you are narrow minded.”
 
Dan, after 300 years of screwing up the world, do you think it is the time for the West to listen to the other party who is successful and has longer history than the West? Particular the history has proven the West’s model and value is a failure.

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