Even as tensions between Beijing and Tokyo grow by the day, there are good reasons to believe outright conflict can be avoided.
The sequel seldom improves on the original. Yet Shinzo Abe, Japan’s newly re-elected prime minister, has already displayed more conviction during his second spell at the Kantei than in the entire year of his first, unhappy premiership.
Political energy is a plus only when it’s wisely deployed however, and some fear that Abe is picking a fight he can’t win when it comes to his hardline stance on China.
Rather than attempting to soothe the tensions that built between Beijing and Tokyo in 2012, Abe has struck a combative tone, especially concerning their dispute over the Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands – a keystone for nationalists in both countries. Each time fighter aircraft are scrambled or ships are sent to survey the likely flashpoint, we hear more warnings about the approach of a war that China and Japan now seem almost eager to wage. The Economist, for example,recently observed that, “China and Japan are sliding towards war,” while Hugh White of the Australian National University warned his readers: “Don't be too surprised if the U.S. and Japan go to war with China [in 2013].” News this week of another reckless act of escalation – Chinese naval vessels twice training their radars on their Japanese counterparts – will only have ratcheted up their concerns.
These doomful predictions came as Abe set out his vision of a more hard-nosed Japan that will no longer be pushed around when it comes to sovereignty issues. In his December op-ed on Project Syndicate Abe accused Beijing of performing “daily exercises in coercion” and advocated a “democratic security diamond” comprising Australia, India, Japan and the U.S. (rehashing a concept from the 2007 Quadrilateral Security Dialogue). He then proposed defense spending increases – Japan’s first in a decade – and strengthened security relations with the Philippines and Vietnam, which both share Tokyo’s misgivings about China’s intentions. An alliance-affirming trip to the U.S.is expected soon, and there is talk of Japan stationing F-15s on Shimojijima, close to the disputed Senkaku/Diaoyu islands.
However, Abe would argue that he is acting to strengthen Japan in order to balance a rising China and prevent a conflict, rather than creating the conditions for one. And he undoubtedly has a more sanguine view of the future of Sino-Japanese relations than those who see war as an ever more likely outcome. Of course, there is a chance that Chinese and Japanese ships or aircraft will clash as the dispute over the Senkaku/Diaoyu islands rumbles on; and, if they do, there is a chance that a skirmish could snowball unpredictably into a wider conflict.
But if Shinzo Abe is gambling with the region’s security, he is at least playing the odds. He is calculating that Japan can pursue a more muscular foreign policy without triggering a catastrophic backlash from China, based on the numerous constraints that shape Chinese actions, as well as the interlocking structure of the globalized environment which the two countries co-inhabit. Specifically, there are seven reasons to think that war is a very unlikely prospect, even with a more hawkish prime minister running Japan:
Photo Credit: Wikicommons
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Darren
I have an idea! Want to stop Chinas growing power.
The west can/should stop trading with China, they don’t build or manufacture anything special, (little plastic toys and other plastic things) nothing that we here in the west couldn’t build.
The only thing China has that’s better than the west is poverty! And its whole economy is built on it.
The Chinese people will not tolerate it for ever, then there will be civil war.
Victims
Below is the disclose from a former CCP blogger who now living in the west. Name and location are withheld to avoid prosecution and revenge.
A few years back, A digrace Professor Yi Junqing, former director of the Central Compilation and Translation Bureau (CCTB), was lecturing high ranking Internet Blogger cadres :
- All of you, before continuing to infiltrate and became a sleepers on the enemy soil, must be able to master these 2 things … Doing this act with absolutely no shred of fear or disgust
While talking, he stick his finger into a dog's anus, and licked his finger with a broad smile. He asked all the cadres to do the same as field practice.
After a brief stunning moment, everybody did the ridiculous act with disgust. He then continued:
- The second thing you must be able to do: I stick my middle finger into the dog's anus; I licked my index finger with a broad smile. But I can convince all of you to lick the dirty finger with ease
The huge lecture hall filled with applause for the former disgace professor's brilliant clarification of such complex concept with a few words and simple demonstration.
The former disgrace profesoor the said: Everyone have to master the AUDACIOU ACT OF DECEPTION to convince the world that CCP are down-to-earth, spurns ostentation, that is engaged with the pocketbook concerns of the general population – but most of that it is clean.
Anon
@Victims First of all, disgusting, filthy mind you have…it is depressing how degenerate Americans have become, it is not enough for them to shoot elementary school children or torture Arabs at Abu Ghraib.
Definition of Chutzpah…Claiming God-like Morality while committing crimes against humanity…add one more, the two nations famous for lying to the world and false flags accusing China of deception.
Let me refresh your apparent lobotomized memory of RECENT war-triggering events – Mukden/Manchurian Incident, Gulf of Tonkin, Yellow Cake, Iraq's WMDs, Kuwaiti "Babies Taken out of Incubators", Syrian "Using Chemical Weapons", etc.
Both nations' leaders are in good company – thanks for showing us your true colors!
ACT
@ anon
nevertheless: Mukden incident; started by an illegitimate government that had seized power via a military coup in the late 1920s.
Gulf of Tonkin: false flag by the U.S to allow entry into war against north vietnam; fear of Soviet dictatorial government (and rightly so).
Kuwaiti "babies in incubators": i believe that this was the daughter of a Saudi diplomat, but regardless Iraq did invade Kuwait, and Kuwait asked the U.S for assistance. This also took place under a U.N security council resolution
second Iraq war: Bush's war. The American people are in agreement that it was a BS war that should not have been fought.
Syria: to my knowledge, beyond an advisory role the U.S is not there; it is only supplying arms.
Now, let's turn to China:
1950 (Tibet): under the reason that "tibet was part of China's ancestral territory, and that China was there to help Tibetans improve their lives"; Tibet was only formally annexed by the Chinese Empire in 1910, before which it had been a de facto independent state; there are still signs in tibet today that say something roughly along the lines of "don't think dangerous thoughts".
1962 (india): McMahon line; Chinese forces were beyond it, and India attacked to defend its conception of what its territory was.
1969: Sino-Soviet Border War: "russia has an island in the middle of a river that is our ancestral territory"
1979: (Vietnam): Vietnam is attacking the murderous pol-pot regime in Cambodia, so we're going to overinflate reports of the abuse of ethnic chinese–who aren't our countrymen–in Vietnam as a pretext to teach them a lesson because in reality they chose to ally themselves with Russia over remaining our vassal state.
1980 onwards: the Daioyus and the SCS are our sovereign territory, even though we have no credible evidence to back those claims up!
Anon
@ACT *FACEPALM*……
NONE of what you described as "China's false flags" can be described as such! Please look up a dictionary.
There is no "deception" involvedthey were all straightforward military actions. China declared clearly its position vis the other party. It didn't manufacture an "event" as an excuse for attacking. *FACEPALM*
Also, for the border war with India, you'd better look up the facts – India advanced FIRST, beyond the LoC, China responded. You fully support the US coming to Japan's aid over the Diaoyu Islands, just as many Chinese supported China coming to the aid of its ally, Cambodia, when it was invaded by Vietnam.
Love or hate China, it did not practise global lies and deceptions, unlike theAmericans and Japanese.
denk
act
*Now, let's turn to China*
not so fast !, i thought u say u'r familiar with these
when i posted it ealrier on ?
http://www.krysstal.com/democracy_whyusa02.html
http://www.4thmedia.org/2012/09/18/the-us-led-apocalypse-the-americas-apocalyptic-eternal-war/
[click the link * American Military Operations * ]
what u just touched on are just the tip of the iceberg
rather disingenuous eh ?
ACT
@anon
never said they were false flags. just stating that the reasons for China's conflicts–save, perhaps, for the 1962 india war, were equally bogus.
ACT
@denk
i've veiwed those sites many times. And? What reason could you possibly give that explains why you think that just because the U.S behaves badly in any way gives the PRC liscence to carry out its delusions of grandeur? Thankfully for us all, the PRC appears to be backing down on the issue of the Senkakus, as well as its other claims (for now), but the fact still stands that you are using the U.S as a straw-man to justify the behavior of China. Moreover, the calling out of the U.S is a red herring; just because the U.S does something stupid in no way leads to the conclusion that the PRC should behave the same way. In fact, as "Whichwaydidhegogeorge" aptly pointed out, the foreign policy and objectives of the PRC, to say nothing of your and anon's attempts to redirect the conversation, bas been a monumental failure that has only galvanized hatred against the CPC and served to remind those nations that were once its vassals just why they disliked the Chinese Empire.
Anon
What History DESPISES MOST are the liars and false flags. It doesn't matter if Japan or the US-NATO are whitewashing their own history and play revisionism – like it always does, truth will out. Like the proverbial MacBeth's stains, Americans have to live with the horrible truth that they have been acting as invader and aggressors in recent years, with the blood of millions, mostly Arabs, on their hands. It will also be known for subverting freedom of speech, by getting global media to disseminate their lies about Iraq, and burying the truth about their corrupt banking system.
Again, in the case of Japan vs China the black hands of the NeoCons are apparent – when will the truth be told? Only a few courageous Americans will stand up and be counted before the drones or FBI get them.
Why are the Japanese, Asians and Aussies sleepwalking into a new PLANNED and PLOTTED conflict, which will claim millions of lives NOW?
Again, to know how it all started, let's look back at WHERE and WHEN Ishihara first made the announcement that he will get Tokyo to buy the islands, i.e. the Opening Act of this KABUKI.
ACT
@anon
oh please. if nothing else, Japan's purchase of the islands made de jure what was already de facto. The PRC chose to get angry about it because it wanted a legitimate excuse to futher grind its axe with Tokyo. Futhermore ,the "whitewashed" history of the United States is readily available to the public in many of the books available for university courses, all of which describe in detail the horrors that the U.S inflicted upon the nations it wished to align or extract resources from. Where are all the chinese histories describing the horrors of the cultural revolution? I kindly suggest that for your own health and safety, as well as to reduce your incessant paranoia and apocalypticism, you trepan your amygdala, which will rather neatly bring an end to your emotional suffering. The use of power tools is not advised.
CLJF
Oh, @Anon, you are SUCH a hypocrite! NO country has whitewashed its history more thoroughly than China! Reams of publicly accessible information on the slights committed against it by others, but virtually NOTHING on the numerous atrocities it has committed (and is still committing) against other countries and even against its own people.
Anon
Did China want WW2 wars with Japan? Did Iraq want war? Did Vietnam in the late 60s-70s want war? Did Colin Powell tell the truth at the UN? All these point to the fact that it does not matter what China thinks, if the US or Japan want a war – they will get their wars.
Nguyen Noi Noi
@Anon.
I have to disagree with your comment about America went to war in many countries in the world. As super power they have a burden of responsibility if they don’t act how it would be if the whole world is of one ideology “the Communist, Marxist, Maoist or the radical Islamist?” In saying this I don't support war because I am a victim of it. War and aggression somehow keep happening in our fallen world and there have been so many victims of it.
I happen to know how to read. I was trained to read ancient Chinese and enjoy their books. Historian Ssu-ma Ch'ien among others I admire. Somehow I also read many American writers, ex-soldiers and historian books, and see their pro and con for wars. After the wars many of the writers became independent research and give honest review of their nation’s foreign policy. I have come to acknowledge that while the Americans are far from perfect, but some how American writers gained my admiration.
The war between Vietnam and America based on different ideology and finished long time ago and the two nations are now at a good and solid relationship. Robert McNamara in his book In Retrospect gives the world his view about the war with a fair go. Henry Kissinger’s Memoirs also gives his version… But the most intrigue to me is the recent book "Bare Feet, Iron Will" written by James G. Zumwalt. Reading these men amongst many others gave me gob smack about their honesty. I admire them and call these truly courage.
Viet Nam also had to engage a war to defend its border from China aggression only 6 years after US withdrawal from Vietnam. Death and the destruction that caused by Chinese military in northern border in that short and decisive war is no less than the bombing of the US. But until now I have not found any good, fair and honest book from any Chinese ex-official or ex-soldier about their evil act. Why there is so silent in that more than 1.3 billion people? Is there any Ssu-ma Ch'ien left in China?
Anon, can you help me with this?
Anon
One CLEAR SIGN of a PAID SHILL is that they keep posting the same thing over and over, Tibet, Mongolia, Ughyur, Japan's "proof" of sovereignty and ownership REGARDLESS of the topic at hand.
This piece is about WHY Japan and China will not go to war. Look at all the posts and posters here. Whomever kept posting the SAME CRAP as from other opinion pieces are the paid shills.
It has emerged that the US is GOADING Japan to go to war with China. Decide for yourselves if there's much more behind this than this transparent propaganda war of "China Expensionism". There are NeoCons and then there are sane peoples of the world. Shame that so few can decide the fate of billions – gives them a frisson of thrill no doubt, not to mention the foot soldiers of CIA-Japanese psyops:
http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article33869.htm
The Armitage/Nye paper addresses itself to the Japanese themselves, the target audience, in the Introduction as follows:
ACT
@anon
i noticed that information clearing house is virulently anti-U.S; every single one of its articles on its front page was of the rough description of the U.S as nothing less than the most sordid, evil, and malevolent empire the world has yet known. Balance your sources, please. If you accuse us all of being paid shills (last i checked, i was not paid), then you are just as guilty of the same sort of hatred you claim we all possess. Futhermore, the article you linked in question is not the article of an academic, but obviously someone who is willing to use any and all tidbits to attempt to smear the U.S; the viewpoint of Armitage/Nye is perfectly valid, as is its question; would you not re-arm for your own defense when there is a nation of 1.5 billion across a small ocean that has vowed to repay you in kind for the crimes your great-grandfathers comitted 70 years ago? Japanese re-armament for defense, as within the bounds stipulated by Article 9, is perfectly legitimate. Contrast this to China's modernization, which has been decidedly offensive in nature, to say nothing of the dedicated sovereignty harrassment force that is China Maritime Surveillance. Furthermore, the whole of Walsh's argument can be sunk by the realization that the U.S does not want war with China; it would be economically ruinous and at best a Pyrrhic victory.
Anon
@ACT
The artilcle is QUOTING A HILARY CLINTON-ARMITAGE-JOSEPH NYE PAPER ADDRESSED TO THE JAPANESE LEADERSHIP ASKING JAPAN IF IT IS UP TO THE TASK OF RISING UP TO CONTAIN CHINA.
Did the State Department Clinton-Armitage-Nye send such a Paper to Japan, urging them to act against China or NO? If this site is lying and no such document was ever offered to the Japanese, then show us it's all a lie. Otherwise, John Walsh is reporting the TRUTH, many sites have already carried details of this Document, and you're one paid shill who is trying to KILL the MESSENGER even as you have NOTHING to refute the MESSAGE. But we all know that's how paid psyops work.
Anon
Btw, the "non existent" (according to ACT) document is drawn up at the Center for International and Strategic Studies (CSIS), entitled "The Japan-U.S. Alliance. Anchoring Stability in Asia," and its pdf can be downloaded from this link:
http://original.antiwar.com/john-v-walsh/2013/02/03/us-goading-japan-into-confrontation-with-china/
nirvana
@ Anon
Perhaps you should read calmly the CSIS document itself. I don't see why Clinton couldn't give a copy of it to her Japanese counterpart. There is nothing sensational. There is hardly anything "confrontational". Japan and Germany have had a good time benefitting from the security umbrella provided by the US. I don't see what is "distressing" for the Chinese when the US is asking these two countries to shoulder some security responsibilities today. It is reassuring though that the majority of Germans and Japanese do not like the idea.
ACT
@anon
my, what a temper you have! I suggested that Walsh is making a mountain out of a molehill by saying that the viewpoint and question posed by Clinton-Armitage-Nye is perfectly valid considering Japan's situation, and you exploded into a rage of anti-U.S and anti-western diatribe, so determined were you to paint Asia (and China by extension) as victims of U.S "manipulation". Now, do tell me–judging by our reactions–who appears to be the more rational and logical commentator here?
CLJF
@anon, ever heard the expression "the pot calling the kettle black"?
Kanes
The biggest reason to avoid war is the possible involvement of USA and Russia. Apart from that I think a war will do China many good. China will be able to replace Japan's vehicle and manufacturing industries. Collapse of the Japanese economy will bring down the US economy as well. However, China should look at the overall picture before taking a decision.
Whichwaydidhegogeorge?
I mention all this in reference to this article as the US *will* defend Japan if China instigates a war. We're bound by treaty to help protect them & they're now actually a closer ally than even the British.
American Patriot
@ whichwaydidhegogeorge
Very good points made, the CCP trolls always love to make the famous historical mistake of assuming that a nation can simply grow its economy forever and that China will somehow magically catch up to western tech….dispite the fact that there is zero evidence to support it.
China's economy is merely a house of cards, nothing to worry about at all and is very similar to the soviet union. The local governments are literally forced to keep the economy growing at all costs, regardless of the destruction caused to the environment and to the common people. It's simply building vast amounts of empty cities and prestige projects to keep the economy going. How can an economy sustain itself like that? Continuously building useless buildings adds no real value to the economy and will only make the eventual crash that much harder.
America is the smartest nation in the history of the planet; in a mere 100 years of our nations history we were already industrializing at a very rapid pace, while in 5000 years China has only now finally industrialized. This speaks volumes about the superiority of American culture and values. If China indeed posed a real threat we would have already destroyed them by now, but why destroy your enemy and waste resources, when you can simply watch them run around the wheel like a rabid hamster and eventually collapse all by themselves?
China is like a jealous little brother, full of insecurity and envy. They continuously try and play catch up with America and it is only destroying them from the inside out. Instead of focusing on the past so much, they need to instead realize that trying to catch up to the most advanced nation on earth is a waste of time and energy. Better to simply try and improve living standards of the people through a more sustainable model of economic growth.
Be Way
@whichwaydidhegogeorge,
You have a long name that almost sound very comical or not to offend you, ridiculous. Notwithstanding, U.S equally has a long name but the underlying truth is that U.S is undergoing the most embarrassing honor (or more like it, dishonor) of being the shortest surviving empire – an empire that lasted less than 100 years old. The glaring weakness that U.S has is its lack of advance and excellent strategic planning.
Firstly U.S squandered all its wealths fighting trivial wars when it could easily has influenced and dominated the world thru spreading its system of government, arts, cultures and even hollywood. Its destiny as a great and powerful nation is finally sealed when it consumes many times more than it produces or earned and it fought more wars than it can even stomach.
Secondly U.S virtue of supporting its allies Japan is not wrong in principle but to back Japan against the incoming dominant superpower, China, is nonetheless a case of sheer stupidity and naivety unless U.S want to destroy the world thru WW3. Throughout history, Japan, mostly ruled as a hermit nation like North Korea now, is never a great nation. Based on the demographic deterioration of the Japanese population as well as its past heinous baggage of being war time aggressor, Japan is a recalcitrant nation despised by all its neighbors. Except for another sick nation, Philippines, who may want to collude with the Japanese, none of the other South East Asia countries, South Korea, India or even Australia will want to ally themselves with U.S-Japan axis of evil to fight against the Chinese. On what ground or benefits will all these countries which are not even the enemy of China, will want to destory their own future and destiny when China is their biggest trade partner.
Japan is slowing dying for sure…so is U.S if it doesn't change or reform….the reality is coming sooner than later. .
ACT
@be way
you make the assumption that China's rise is preordained, and that its rise to its former position of regional–and imagined global–hegemony is unstoppable. Let me tell you that first, when fully three quarters of your population is at or below the poverty line, you are not a superpower. Futhermore, the PRC has been thoroughly unable to finlandize its neighbors, as the U.S has managed to do with Mexico, Canada and most of latin america.
You also assume, as whichwaydidhegogeorge pointed out, that U.S technology will remain static–or at least stagnant–enough to enable the PRC to leapfrog over it in terms of military technology, much of which has been stolen from the U.S by a dedicated force of PLA hackers.
You also assume that the public will not simply tire of the CPC; it appears that the CPC is increasingly unable to control the nationalist beast that it sired in 1989, for at least one source has suggested that Xi is being given exageratted reports by his staff and advisors that are intended to make him take a tougher stance with regard to China's "indisputable and sovereign territory" (read: war). Any war in the region would almost certainly result in a crippling defeat for the CPC at this point in time, especially since the U.S would be increasingly involved; the only way to defeat the U.S would be to drag it into a war of attrition by moving key manufacturing and industry so far in-land that the U.S would not be able to hit it with aircraft or cruise missiles–at least not without starting the land war that its generals dread. either way: if the PRC loses the war, the CPC gets removed from power; if it does not continue to guarantee prosperity, the CPC loses power. It's a lose-lose scenario, since the region of China has a finite carrying capacity for both industry, economy and agriculture, one that is being continously degraded by rampant pollution. I took a look at pictures of beijing off of Sankaku Complex and the city at night looks like someone went wild with dry ice at the local rave. Regardless, i suspect that the CPC will in time–in order to distract from worsening conditions at home–eventually make war on one of its neighbors for some percieved slight. The beginning of that war will be the beginning of the end of the PRC, as well as any foolish notions of imperial destiny; Imperial Japan and Germany had to have their delusions of grandeur beaten out of them. Just how hard will we have to whack you?
Errol
And it's infuriating to know that once the first shot is fired, things will go out of hand quickly. How many have to die before common sense and reason return to people?
Be Way
@ACT
"you make the assumption that China's rise is preordained"
No, it's published by all major Western Media that China will become the next superpower soon. I just repeat the same news here..
"U.S technology will remain static"
All these Western Media never mentioned this point. They continue to opine that China will become the next superpower soon. Maybe you are the only smart alex who can see the future. All these Western media are good for nothing.
My presumption that you are talking to own self on the rest of your comment. The act of being concise, right to the point and be objective, is not your strength. So don't attempt to write long comment when its quite obvious that it's an eye sore.
ACT
@ be way
no, i was talking to you; one must remember that the media is very sensationalistic, and loves to play upon fears; just look at fox news. Even if China does achieve the #1 economic position, that in no way makes it a superpower; it is isolated, loathed by those neighbors which it has not bought, and it faces serious internal unrest. I also find it funny that you–now of all times–choose to announce that you are christian and not chinese
Whichwaydidhegogeorge?
To presume that China's military rise is inevitable & the simultaneous military decline of Western powers is also inevitable one of the biggest misconceptions & is a weak projection based on…what?
How do we know how much future tech developments will change the status quo? Could we have foreseen all the changes that took place once the web became open for all (well, for most people not behind a Great Firewall)? This talk of inevitable demise: It's all conjecture at this point. Changing demographics, economics, and technology may well blow away all previous expectations. China still has no great internal R&D when it comes to conceptualizing, designing, and fielding complex original military platforms & must still follow the West's lead in technology as poor IP protection has led to little regard for true innovation & homebred creativity.
Sure they're making strides in carrier aviation and stealth but 1 ski jump carrier used for training is no match for a real carrier battlegroup & they're still working on their 1st gen stealth aircraft (from stolen tech from 4th-5th gen craft) while we already have 5th gen stealth aircraft already operating.
And sure, the PLAN now has DF-21Ds but they're still nowhere near operational status. When we hear about DF-21Ds tracking down evasive, electronically adept, fleet protected simulated carriers in simulated operational conditions then they'll finally have an operational weapon. Of course by then, US Navy solid state lasers & railguns will most likely have been implemented. We then won't have to worry about running out of SM-2s & 3s. Also, if you think you can start lobbing ballistic missiles at our naval battlegroups from your own territory then you better not start crying once those launch sites become targeted in response.
The experience gap in a potential naval showdown is huge as well. The US has boasted the finest naval aviators for the past 70 years & that's something that can't be improved upon without real world experience & bloodshed. While I expect Chinese equipment & forces to be more capable than what we see today, isn't it expected that US tech will continue to improve as well?
All in all, to quote the eminient writer Mark Twain, when it comes to the so-called fated demise of American & western military power vis-a-vis China's rise, I think: "The rumors of my death have been greatly exaggerated."
Kim’s Uncle
Dear all little red guard wannabes,
All this talk about nuking Japan is rather silly. Do you think if China nuked Japan that China would bear no kind of consequences for such an action? China would be a pariah and an outcast or a leper of the international community. Japan was already nuked in WWII so if she was nuked again I think the world's sympathy would go toward Japan. China would just look like a barbaric and sadistic country. Remember boys and girls, modern Japan is democratic and peaceful. She has been a good and responsible stakeholder in the international community. We respect Japan's rise as a peaceful and democratic country that has excised her military dictatorship of the past in order to be a civilized country. The lesson Chinese should take from Japan's experience is to embrace liberal democracy and rise peacefully and not follow the path of a military dictatorship that thirst for war.
John Chan
China will rule the world one day and you and the rest of the Japan lovers will be enslaved by the glorious China. World domination is the CCP motto!!!
Be Way
I don't know whether you are a real John or a fake John. I disagreed with you that China should dominate the world. The world is big enough for everyone. It's time to work together to make it a more peaceful and better world.
CJLF
@Be Way, if only the rest of what you said accorded with this infinitely more sensible post.
Bankotsu
"China will rule the world one day and you and the rest of the Japan lovers will be enslaved by the glorious China. World domination is the CCP motto!!!"
Beware, this is a fake John Chan posting.
Mao Kim
Go back to playing board games at the mental institution. Your buddies miss your delusional fantasy stories
Mongolia
You are dreaming Chan, China will be destroyed from inside. That is for sure. Too many ethnic groups, and they all want to be seperated from China, you get the picture?
vic
The reality is Japan is a client-state of USA.
CLJF
And that China is an arrogant, unapologetic bully.
John F. Phillips
I do not believe that China will instigate conflict with Japan while the current leadership is trying to sort out how it will function. It will be interesting to see what happens if internal disent in China begins to manifest itself in such a way that threatens the legitimacy of the current leadership or the Communist Party itself. Perhaps then, the government and PLA would use coflict with Japan as a means to reassert itself and regain legitimacy.