Obama 2.0 Confronts Asia (Page 3 of 5)

Although these are welcome developments in U.S. bilateral relations with ASEAN nations, a persistent concern remains that a major event will impart a systematic shock to America’s partnerships with these regional players, driving these relations downward toward their historical mean. With relations so good, on average they will tend to worsen without continued efforts to keep ties strong.

A war in Korea might inflict such a blow. North Korea has now detonated three nuclear explosive devices already and is striving to make small nuclear warheads that can be launched on the DPRK’s improving ballistic missiles. Although the DPRK presently lacks missiles capable of reaching North America, it already possesses many missiles that can attack targets in Japan, including the U.S. forces based there. Thanks to its continued testing of long-range rockets, experts calculate that the DPRK could have an intercontinental ballistic with sufficient range to hit targets in North America within five years or less.

The Obama administration achieved remarkable success in securing international sanctions against North Korea for its proliferation activities, but recent UN reports indicate that the sanctions are not being applied effectively, with some Chinese nongovernmental entities working to circumvent them. Most importantly, the United States has made no progress in eliminating North Korea’s nuclear arsenal or engaging with the DPRK.

The Obama administration has been willing to negotiate nuclear and other issues directly with the DPRK, within the Six-Party framework, but since Pyongyang has continued its intransigence, most recently by launching a long-range missile in December and now threatening a third nuclear weapons test, the United States and its allies have shunned the DPRK diplomatically and punished it with additional unilateral and multilateral sanctions.

Under its policy of “strategic patience,” the Obama administration has demanded that the DPRK give some concrete indication that it will make major nuclear concessions. But this policy of patiently waiting for verifiable changes in DPRK policies entails several risks. First, it provides North Koreans with additional breathing room to refine their nuclear and missile programs. Second, the DPRK might launch even more ballistic missiles or detonate additional nuclear devices to confirm and support this development process, or may do so simply out of frustration over being ignored. Finally, the strategy of waiting for the DPRK to introduce major reforms risks allowing a minor incident to escalate if the ROK’s implements its post-2010 proactive deterrence policy of retaliating swiftly and vigorously to any DPRK provocation.

Whether Park Geun-Hye, the new ROK president, will remain as firmly supportive of U.S. nonproliferation goals as President Lee remains uncertain given her desire to distance herself from her predecessor as well as initiate an outreach effort toward Pyongyang’s new leadership, which has shown a willingness to experiment with new domestic if not foreign policies. 

Iran looks to remain another enduring nonproliferation problem for the new Obama administration. The United States and its allies have found themselves in a challenging position regarding Iran’s nuclear program. Economic sanctions have thus far failed to induce Tehran to renounce plans to enrich large quantities of uranium, potentially suitable for manufacturing nuclear weapons (at a higher level of enrichment). Yet, the United States and other Asian leaders recognize that using military force in an attempt to destroy Iran’s nuclear program could easily fail and possibly backfire.

Comments
72

[...] Link: http://thediplomat.com/2013/02/21/obama-2-0-confronts-asia/ [...]

a_canadian_observer
February 27, 2013 at 02:01

Actually I thnk these are some well known chinese products:

1. Tiananmen square massacre,

2. Physical and culture genocide in Tibet and Xinjiang,

3. Melanine-mixed milk for children,

4. Fake rice, fake eggs, gutter-recycled cooking oil,

5. Scheduled killing of prisoners to sale their organs

Just to name a few.

Kim's Uncle
February 26, 2013 at 02:51

@ red chinese dudes,

Go to any bookstores in the Western world or modern Asia and peruse the business shelf, and there you will find no books regarding Chinese companies or Chinese CEOs EVER!!!  That's the impact and influence of Chinese capitalism in the Western world!!  Additionally, go to any US business schools and there you will find not one Chinese company cited as a case model to study!  That's just the truth.  Mature economies do not rely on sub-contracting work by importing components from advanced countries to assemble products for re-export!  That is China.  I just wanted to educate you on your real China!  Like I said before, a developing country can grow tremendously from starting from rock bottom.  But that does not mean it can continue to grow once it achieve a certain level.  Western mature economy grow by creating and inventing things.  It also grow by productivity by improving and innovating processes.  That's not the case in China.  All those companies from China you listed are a joke in the West!       

Bankotsu
February 25, 2013 at 14:08

"No Henry Ford, William buffet, bill gates, Larry Ellison, Steve jobs, jeff bezos, etc.??? Just one? How feeble of China!"

But what is the use of these things if the economy is in decline?

Cyrus
February 25, 2013 at 06:29

Really? Hundred of Thousands with drones? where did you get that? Oh, btw I believe more has died in the hands of the Chinese Empire from Qin to the present CCP.

Cyrus
February 25, 2013 at 04:03

Yes to be fair those are well known brands.

Kim's Uncle
February 24, 2013 at 10:15

@ red Chinese dudes, still can’t name one Chinese entrepreneur/business tycoon that has created a business from scratch and built into an empire that is highly respected by the world’s consuming audience? No Henry Ford, William buffet, bill gates, Larry Ellison, Steve jobs, jeff bezos, etc.??? Just one? How feeble of China !

Dean
February 24, 2013 at 03:47

By stealing their IPs or forcing their technological transfers, by pursuing a self-interest  mercantilist economic policy: currency manipulation, export subsidy for unfair access to foreign markets, protectionist high tariffs for blocking  foreign exports into chinese market,  suppressing domestic consumption, & business discrimination in favor of chinese local companies, etc. This is what you called ' the art of business'? Shame on you, vic. The world calls it ' the art of big swindle of the global con, China'!

John Chan
February 24, 2013 at 02:31

@Kim,

Whenever you are provided with answers; you and the anti-China clique simply dismissed the answers offhand and used the opportunity to bash China more. You are not here to debate, but to discharge your hatred against China for whatever your personal reasons. Unless you can rein in your emotion and behave, you will be not be taken seriously.

John Chan
February 24, 2013 at 02:19

@Observer,

Coke = vanguard of American imperialism that uses thugs to bust unions fighting for reasonable salary.

Being = death merchant, part of the American MIC that makes profits on the misery of humanity.

Google = peeking Tom and CIA henchman that destroy privacy of human rights and liberty.

Exxon = environment destroyer

HP = dying dinosaur

Nike = label only, living on the blood and sweat of developing nations

Intel = a passé technology mammoth drowning in the sea of mobile technologies.

Bottom line = past glory cannot guarantee future success. Band name is a good will and a virtue reality, living in virtue reality is delusion.

coffeechamp
February 24, 2013 at 00:13

China will self-destruct soon because socio-economic disparity thanks to a fake communist regime hell bent on corruption. War is their only way to keep the country united. As for the US, stop outsourcing to china. Seriously, the quality sucks. Bring back at least 50% of manufacturing to home soil and outsource the rest to your allies.

ashleyhk
February 23, 2013 at 23:39

Jack Ma??

Great guy and awesome company

 

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