What Can Manmohan Singh Accomplish By Visiting Pakistan?
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What Can Manmohan Singh Accomplish By Visiting Pakistan?

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Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh is planning to visit Pakistan sometime in March 2014 to resume the long-stalled composite dialogue between India and Pakistan. The news comes a little over a week after Pakistani Trade Minister Khurram Dastgir Khan met his Indian counterpart Anand Sharma in New Delhi and the two agreed to move forward with warmer trade ties. Indian Commerce Minister Anand Sharma will pave the path for Singh’s trip to Pakistan when he heads to Lahore in mid-February for an Indian trade show.

The composite dialogue between India and Pakistan was suspended last January after an Indian soldier was beheaded by Pakistani troops–an incident that marked the beginning of a year that was marred by various skirmishes along the troubled India-Pakistan border. A series of ceasefire violations in 2013 ensured that no progress was made on ameliorating bilateral relations. Pakistani Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif pledged to improve relations with India prior to his election.

The so-called Composite Dialogue Process between India and Pakistan addresses the entire spectrum of issues inhibiting warmer ties between the two South Asian rivals, including the final status of Kashmir, Siachen, economic cooperation, counter-terrorism cooperation, and general confidence-building measures.

So far, 2014 has set a completely different tone for India-Pakistan relations compared to 2013. Where last year was littered with skirmishes along the Line of Control in Kashmir, this year the two have already broached major trade issues in an amicable bilateral setting. At the very end of 2013, the Director Generals of Military Operations (DGMOs) of both nations met at the Wagah border crossing to consult on military matters as well. Of course, what little progress was made during the brief bilateral consultation on trade issues was undone following an Indian drug bust in Kashmir, which prompted Pakistan to temporarily cease border crossings, but that hasn’t entirely undone the positive momentum underlying bilateral efforts this year. Prime Minister Singh’s resolve to travel to Pakistan in March underscores this trend and will likely be the PM’s last major foreign policy hurrah before his term ends in May after India’s general elections.

The timing of Singh’s visit is somewhat unfortunate given that the Congress Party’s electoral prospects in the general election appear dim. Should a non-Congress Prime Minister rise to the fore, it is likely that India may reevaluate the diplomatic trajectory with Pakistan. For the Congress, Singh’s attempts to forge warmer ties with Pakistan prior to the election could provide a modest electoral boost. The Pakistan issue has remained stagnant during the UPA’s second term in power–particularly after the 2008 Mumbai attacks. Should Singh’s visit yield any major breakthroughs in terms of the Composite Dialogue Process, Congress could rake in additional votes–particularly from voters in states bordering Pakistan. Most foreign policy issues tend to have little influence on voters, but the Pakistan issue and its ramifications on Indian security can influence electoral outcomes.

Comments
6
Gaurav Tripathi
January 31, 2014 at 03:25

Manmohan Singh’s visit to Pakistan will surely be helpful for maintaining peace and tranquility between two nations, but it’ll be of no use until and unless , the institutions which are running the Pakistan(by ruling heart and mind of people) i.e, Army. The recent govt. closeness to non-state actors as per media of Pakistan is a serious cause of concern. Hopefully, all stakeholders communicate and listen to each other problems and try it to solve in a co-operative manner. Bcoz we cannot change geography. #Togetherness

Taimoor
January 29, 2014 at 18:57

He don’t have the guts to visit Pakistan in his two tenures as PM now when he is about to depart he thinks lets do the right thing….One of the biggest problem with leaders is that when they can do something real for people they can not tackle the conservatives, extremists at home and when its all about to end for them then they realize that common people are the real Power. HOPELESS

Anjaan
January 30, 2014 at 00:05

Utter nonsense … !!
The people of India, cutting across party lines, are united on the issue of Pakistan and Kashmir … no Indian leader can go against the wishes of the people … !!

Syed
January 29, 2014 at 11:12

“Singh’s attempts to forge warmer ties with Pakistan prior to the election could provide a modest electoral boost”

Foolish and deliberate communalistic comment. What proof, what evidence do you have for this silly claim? Indian muslims don’t care for Pakistan.

Udaya Bose
January 28, 2014 at 15:14

He can greet the people of village Gah. Maybe , he can plan his retirement to his much missed homeland.

Anjaan
January 28, 2014 at 13:11

Nothing at all …. a big “ZERO” …

And interestingly, now he knows that all too well, after his last meeting with PM Nawaz Sharif in the US …

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