Iraqi Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi arrived in Beijing on Tuesday for a two-day visit, Abadi’s first since assuming office in September 2014. During Abadi’s visit, China and Iraq issued a joint statement upgrading their relationship to a strategic partnership.
In a meeting with Abadi, Chinese President Xi Jinping praised the development of China-Iraq ties, and said that the new strategic partnership would provide “a solid foundation” for future advances in the relationship. Xi also pledged Chinese assistance in “energy, electricity, communication and infrastructure” projects in Iraq, which he tied to China’s “Belt and Road” initiative. In his own meeting with Abadi, Premier Li Keqiang repeated that promise, and also mentioned building up Iraq’s production capacity in certain manufacturing industries.
But energy in particular remains in the bedrock of China-Iraq relations, as China’s oil imports have skyrocketed over the past decade. China imported just 1 million tonnes of oil from Iraq during the whole year of 2006. By contrast, in January of 2015 alone, China received 3.4 million tonnes of oil from Iraq, making the country Beijing’s second-largest oil supplier (behind only Saudi Arabia). Chinese oil firms expected to import about three tonnes of oil per month from Iraq in 2015. Overall, China imports nearly half of Iraq’s total oil production.Enjoying this article? Click here to subscribe for full access. Just $5 a month.
On Tuesday, China and Iraq signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) on oil and gas, pledging a “long-term and comprehensive strategic partnership on energy cooperation.” The two countries vowed to expand their already-considerable cooperation in the energy field, with more investment going to boost the oil trade as well as exploration and development of oil and gas fields and the construction of infrastructure for storing and transporting energy resources.
However, expanding energy cooperation is easier said than done. China’s existing oil investments in Iraq face threats from security concerns, notably the Islamic State. While Chinese-invested oilfields (which are largely clustered in southern Iraq) have mostly been spared from the IS threat, the crisis within Iraq has seriously limited the country’s ability to extract and export oil as planned. In 2014, China and Iraq were supposed to double their oil trade due to new contracts and investment from Chinese firms; only half of that increase was actually realized.
Despite the impact on its energy imports, China has stayed out of the fight against IS, despite nudges from Iraqi government officials for more aid from Beijing. China voices support for Iraq’s government, but is only willing to provide modest support in the form of limited personnel training and humanitarian aid. Similarly, the joint statement signed between Iraq and China this week saw Beijing pledge to “support Iraq’s unity, territorial integrity, sovereignty and independence” without making any specific commitments. Meanwhile, both Beijing and Baghdad promised to “to support each other’s efforts to maintain national security, stability and to fight against terrorism.”
Abadi’s visit to China comes as he pushes back against the idea of deploying U.S. ground troops in Iraq. Abadi told NPR in a recent interview that “we don’t want boots on the ground. Full stop.” Instead, he said, the United States and its coalition should increase their commitment to air strikes against IS, calling the current level of support “limited.”
“We can destroy Daesh… But we need proper intelligence and proper air cover and support,” Abadi said.
That’s not something China can (or is willing to) provide, despite Beijing’s own serious concerns about terrorism. Instead, Beijing is continuing to offer the same prescription for Iraq: economic cooperation, focused on the energy sector.