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China invasion of Taiwan

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10 Reasons Xi Won’t Attack Taiwan Anytime Soon  

10 Reasons Xi Won’t Attack Taiwan Anytime Soon  

By Hemant Adlakha
Yes, Chinese leader Xi Jinping has ambitions for absorbing Taiwan. But so did all his predecessors. 
Russia’s Irrational War in Ukraine Should Be a Warning for Predicting China’s Behavior 

Russia’s Irrational War in Ukraine Should Be a Warning for Predicting China’s Behavior 

By Jan Švec
Many of the factors that led to Putin’s disastrous decision are also present in China’s authoritarian system.

The US and China: Deterrence in the Danger Zone

The US and China: Deterrence in the Danger Zone

By E. John Teichert
Success depends on decreasing the perceived likelihood that a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would succeed, minimizing the perceived benefits, and increasing the expected costs. 

Suppose the US Defeats a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan. What Then?

Suppose the US Defeats a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan. What Then?

By Connor Swank
A Taiwan conflict in which the United States and its allies win the battles but lose the war would not be a historical first.

China and Taiwan: The Geopolitical Crisis Hiding in Plain Sight

China and Taiwan: The Geopolitical Crisis Hiding in Plain Sight

By Peter Birgbauer
Can the international community see through the fog of its current crises and adequately prepare for an even bigger crisis further down the road?
China’s Real Takeaway From the War in Ukraine: Grey Zone Conflict Is Best

China’s Real Takeaway From the War in Ukraine: Grey Zone Conflict Is Best

By Tobias Burgers and Scott N. Romaniuk
The steep costs of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will bolster China's continued use of its effective salami-slicing and grey zone tactics.

Building Taiwan’s Own Area Denial Capabilities

Building Taiwan’s Own Area Denial Capabilities

By Pei-Shiue Hsieh
Taiwan can use long-range anti-ship missiles to create its own A2/AD strategy.
How China’s Military Is Preparing for War With Taiwan

How China’s Military Is Preparing for War With Taiwan

By Mercy A. Kuo
Insights from Joel Wuthnow.

How Pelosi’s Visit to Taiwan Drove Chinese Public Opinion Toward Reunification by Force

How Pelosi’s Visit to Taiwan Drove Chinese Public Opinion Toward Reunification by Force

By Leo Chu
Since Pelosi’s visit, the future of the cross-strait issue has surged toward military conflict, as the Chinese public started to dismiss the possibility of peaceful reunification.

Potential Logistical and Operational Costs of a China-Taiwan Conflict

Potential Logistical and Operational Costs of a China-Taiwan Conflict

By Sara Hsu
Half of the global container fleet passed through the Taiwan Strait this year, making it a critical waterway for global supply chains.

Do Legislative Visits Actually Help Taiwan?

Do Legislative Visits Actually Help Taiwan?

By Andrei Lungu
Instead of deterring China, such visits in fact increase the risk of an invasion of Taiwan, because they create a nefarious incentive for it.
China’s New White Paper Lays out Vision for Post ‘Reunification’ Taiwan

China’s New White Paper Lays out Vision for Post ‘Reunification’ Taiwan

By Shannon Tiezzi
For the first time, Beijing leaves open the possibility of an extended military occupation after unification, adding to fears that Taiwanese would be subject to a “re-education” campaign.

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