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This week our top story explores the emergence of “hybrid militants” in Kashmir. We also have an interview with David Ownby, a professor of history at the University of Montreal, about ideology and intellectuals in China.
The Diplomat Brief
December 1, 2021thediplomat.com
Welcome to the latest issue of Diplomat Brief. This week our top story explores the emergence of “hybrid militants” in Kashmir. We also have an interview with David Ownby, a professor of history at the University of Montreal, about ideology and intellectuals in China.
Story of the week
Who Are Kashmir’s 'Hybrid Militants'?

SECURITY

Who Are Kashmir’s 'Hybrid Militants'?

What Happened: In mid-November, four men were killed by Indian security forces in the Hyderpora neighborhood of Srinagar. The authorities called it a gun battle and said the slain men were “terrorists disguised as civilians.” Their families, however, disputed the police account and claimed the encounter was staged. The episode brought to the fore Indian authorities’ new emphasis on “hybrid militants” in Kashmir – a term hotly disputed by locals, who see it as a way to cover up civilian deaths.

Our Focus: Police Inspector General Vijay Kumar told reporters that hybrid militants are “terrorists disguised as civilians”: “They are part-time terrorists who are not in our list [of militants],” he said, adding that such people remain in touch with “terrorists through digital devices and are locally trained.” Dr. Sheikh Showkat Hussain, a prominent political analyst and an academic in Kashmir, has a different take, however. He told The Diplomat that the police use the new term for people who previously were known as “militant sympathizers.” According to Hussain, “Authorities want to target the dissent. Once dissent is targeted they need justification for it and that justification is created by using the word hybrid militant.”

What Comes Next: The emergence of “hybrid militants” is a plausible development given India’s intense crackdown on those who openly declare they have joined militant groups, as had been the norm in Kashmir. But the idea of terrorists in “disguise” as civilians also sits uncomfortably with recurring accusations of staged encounters by Indian security forces and a lack of accountability and transparency following police killings. One rights activist summed up the concerns: “Action can be taken against anybody by labeling him as [a] hybrid militant.”

Read this story
Behind the News

INTERVIEW

David Ownby

David Ownby, a professor of history at the University of Montreal, on the gap between CCP rhetoric and China’s people: “For Chinese intellectuals, even if they support the regime, they wish that the regime would stop being something from the last century… China is awake to the world in a lot of ways, whereas the party is still stuck in 19th or 20th century Marxist rhetoric.”

Read the interview
This Week in Asia

Northeast Asia

US Defense Minister in South Korea

U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin will be in South Korea on December 2 for the annual Security Consultative Meeting with his counterpart, Suh Wook. Expect the Moon administration’s push for a declaration to formally end the Korean War to be high on the agenda, alongside long-standing issues related to wartime OPCON transfer from the U.S. to South Korea.

Find out more

South Asia

The India-Russia 2+2

India will host its first “2+2” dialogue with Russia on December 5-6, highlighting a longstanding relationship that faces new complications amid China-U.S. tensions. Russia has been drawing closer to China (and Pakistan) while India strengthens ties with the United States. Can the India-Russia 2+2 recapture the bonhomie of old?

Find out more

Southeast Asia

Cambodia’s Opposition Splinters

Over the weekend, a rift between the leaders of Cambodia’s now banned opposition party, the CNRP, spilled into the open, when Kem Sokha announced on Facebook that he would no longer be associating with Sam Rainsy. While Rainsy said the message was the result of pressure from the Cambodian government, tensions between the two men have long been the subject of rumors. Regardless of the cause of the latest rift, it’s one more step in the total dissolution of any competitive opposition in Cambodian politics.

Find out more

Central Asia

Can’t Even Pay Central Asia to Host Afghan Refugees

Financial compensation doesn’t seem to be enough to lure Central Asian countries into accepting Afghan refugees, with Uzbek officials scoffing at reported NATO offers of payment if Tashkent would agree to take in Afghans. Even Tajikistan is turning hopefuls back at the border.

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Visualizing APAC

The United States’ Summit for Democracy included some surprising participants – and excluded some others – from the Asia-Pacific region.

See the full picture
Word of the Week

SOCIETY

Шаңырақ

Shanyrak: Kazakh for the highest point on a yurt, where wooden beams meet in a distinctive circle with a cross hatch pattern. It also serves as a symbol of shelter, family, and nation, including on Kazakhstan’s national emblem.

Find out more
JAGUAR LAND ROVER DIPLOMATIC SALES
Asia After the Soviet Union

The Diplomat Magazine | December 2021

Asia After the Soviet Union

This month, our cover story explores how the collapse of the Soviet Union impacted key Asian countries: China, India, Japan, the Koreas, and Vietnam. We also outline the ups and downs of Bangladesh’s relations with India and Pakistan in the 50 years since its independence, retrace the events before and after the 2011 Zhanaozen massacre in Kazakhstan, and take stock of the mood on the ground in Hong Kong during its first elections since the national security law. And, of course, we offer a range of reporting, analysis, and opinion from across the region.

Read the Magazine
Dense Grey Webs: Cyber Risks and Trends in the Asia-Pacific

DRI REPORT NO. 07 | JULY-AUGUST 2021

Afghanistan and Taliban 2.0: International Security and Geopolitical Implications

In this edition of the DRI Monthly Report—the second and concluding part of a major Diplomat Risk Intelligence project on Afghanistan after the fall of Kabul to the Taliban on August 15, and based on exhaustive in-house research and interviews with 10 leading experts— we look at the Taliban’s relationships with key terrorist organizations and Afghanistan's neighbors. We also examine the Taliban’s convoluted relationships with major regional powers who could prove to be key in granting the new regime in Kabul a veneer of international legitimacy provided, of course, that their own interests are guarded by Taliban 2.0.

Read the Report
Diplomat Risk Intelligence