Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao and his Indian counterpart Manmohan Singh agreed to establish a regular bilateral strategic economic dialogue mechanism during Wen’s visit to India last December, and the first one day meeting of the China-India Strategic Economic Dialogue was held in Beijing late last month.
While the event was generally only reported in the Indian press based on quotes from the official Chinese news agency Xinhua, it was primetime news on China’s state-run TV channel, with Wen saying the dialogue had achieved ‘positive results.’
Wen said: ‘We discussed our economic situations, macroeconomic policies, and policies and cooperation in areas such as investment, infrastructure construction, high technology, energy conservation and environmental protection.’ He also expressed the hope that ‘the two countries will continue to make efforts to give the dialogue a greater role in promoting mutual trust, bilateral relations and cooperation, and to expand our strategic partnership of cooperation.’
Wen said that China and India are good neighbours, and that as two of the world’s largest developing countries they face many common opportunities and challenges. Maintaining sound and stable development of bilateral relations is of great importance to the two countries, the region and the world as a whole, he argues. He further noted that the two countries should enhance communication and coordination at all levels and in all areas, expand cooperation, take each other’s concerns into consideration and steadily pursue a means of reciprocity and common development.
The Chinese premier also spoke of India’s capabilities in IT and pharmaceuticals, talking about creating an investor-friendly environment. Railway officials from both sides continued their talks for a second day to understand each other’s systems. Vinay Mittal, the Chairman of the Railway Board, later told reporters that high-speed trains were feasible and necessary for India, especially for freight corridors, and that the discussions centred on China’s massive expansion in this area. Besides railways, two separate working groups held talks on water and energy issues.
Montek Singh Ahluwalia, Deputy Chairman of the Planning Commission, who led the Indian delegation, said the strategic dialogue reflects enhanced economic engagement between the two countries. ‘As we try to take our relationship to a new level, a further opening of markets and improvement of investment climate are challenges that we need to address together.’ He said the growing India-China relationship is an important element of the changes that are taking place in the global order, ‘as emerging economies, we are making our viewpoint increasingly felt on important global issues,’ he said.
Zhang Ping, head of the National Development and Reform Commission, the country’s top economic planner, who led the Chinese delegation, said that China and India face similar problems as both countries undergo rapid industrialization and urbanization, and the dialogue, which is partly aimed at boosting mutual trust, will enhance cooperation in various fields and help the two countries find solutions to common problems.
‘The dialogue will help Indian enterprises find more business opportunities in China,’ claimed Liu Xiaoxue, a researcher with the Institute of Asia-Pacific Studies at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, as bilateral trade has risen rapidly. In 2010 it stood at $61.76 billion, up 42.4 percent year-on-year, with exports to India growing 31.3 percent and imports increasing 51.8 percent. In the first eight months of this year, trade amounted to $48.16 billion, up 19.4 percent compared with the same period last year.
‘Both countries realize cooperation is more beneficial,’ said Yang Baojun, an East Asian professor at Peking University. ‘Benefits from stronger economic ties outweigh their differences.’
Rong Ying, of the China Institute of International Studies, argued that as both countries face similar problems with respect to energy security and reliance on labour intensive exports, despite complaints of both sides related to market access, the significance of the dialogue is much broader as it touches on macro concerns and opportunities on how to deal with long term issues. Border demarcation and geopolitical issues in the South China Sea are complicated and the differences have to be managed rather than let them determine the future relationship.
The Reserve Bank India recently granted a license to the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, the world’s largest bank by market capitalization, profits and assets, and it will invest about half a billion US dollars as initial capital, opening the way for the sourcing of the bulk of India’s $100 billion worth power sector equipment from China. With the Reserve Bank allowing up to one billion yuan to be taken as direct commercial borrowing, capital account FDI inflow for infrastructure fits with the widening trade deficit. Indian exporters also have significant opportunities with China shifting to a consumer drive economy, and we can also benefit from tourism.
Ultimately, the dialogue must be seen in a broader perspective. Kishore Mahbubani, Dean of the School of Public Policy in Singapore, also speaking on China TV, commented that ‘development is a marathon’ and India may well come out in front. Similarly, the complaints related to market access that both India and China have are dwarfed by the spats between the United States and the EU in the WTO, for example over subsidies to aircraft manufacturers, and worries about what the ascendancy of emerging markets would mean for jobs, pay and borrowing costs.
Mukul Sanwal is Visiting Professor at the University of International Business and Economics, Beijing.
This is an edited and abridged version of an article that was originally published by the Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses (www.idsa.in) in New Delhi here.