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Carl Thayer

Carl Thayer

Carl Thayer is Emeritus Professor at The University of New South Wales and Director of Thayer Consultancy.

He is a Southeast Asia regional specialist who taught at the Australian Defence Force Academy, Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies, Australian Command and Staff College, and Centre for Defence and Strategic Studies, Australian Defence College.

Posts by Carl Thayer
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April 26, 2018

The South China Sea and ASEAN's 32nd Summit Meeting

By Carl Thayer
Will Cambodia once again undermine ASEAN’s position on the South China Sea?
November 02, 2017

Will Trump's Visit to Asia Mark the Moment US Leadership in the Region Is Irrevocably Ceded to China?

By Carl Thayer
Trump must show that he can think strategically and not just transactionally to avoid the worst.

July 24, 2017

Alarming Escalation in the South China Sea: China Threatens Force if Vietnam Continues Oil Exploration in Spratlys

By Carl Thayer
A new pattern of Chinese bellicosity?

July 19, 2017

Asia Reassurance Initiative Act: A Republican Vision for Engaging Southeast Asia

By Carl Thayer
Can the Asia Reassurance Initiative Act find strategic ballast?

June 28, 2017

Dead in the Water: The South China Sea Arbitral Award, One Year Later

By Carl Thayer
Revisiting the July 2016 award on the South China Sea disputes between the Philippines and China.
June 29, 2017

Is a New China-Vietnam Maritime Crisis Brewing in the South China Sea?

By Carl Thayer
What are the implications of China’s abrupt cancellation of military border activities with Vietnam?

August 03, 2016

After the Ruling: Lawfare in the South China Sea

By Carl Thayer
The historic ruling sets the stage for future diplomatic, political, and military contestations.
June 19, 2016

Revealed: The Truth Behind ASEAN's Retracted Kunming Statement

By Carl Thayer
New details on the June 14 meeting between ASEAN and China shed light on the imbroglio surrounding ASEAN's statement.

June 17, 2016

The ASEAN-China Special Meeting Mystery: Bureaucratic Snafu or Chinese Heavy-Handedness?

By Carl Thayer
Was ASEAN consensus undermined or is there a more mundane bureaucratic explanation for the confusion surrounding the statement?

May 31, 2016

Obama’s Visit to Vietnam: A Turning Point?

By Carl Thayer
The visit did result in the lifting of the arms embargo, but the context is far wider.

April 15, 2016

Australian Intelligence: China Poised to Take 'Decisive and Provocative' Action in the South China Sea

By Carl Thayer
U.S. and Australian intelligence agencies voice concern about China's recent moves in the South China Sea.
March 22, 2016

After Natuna Incident, South China Sea Tensions Likely to Get Worse Before They Get Better

By Carl Thayer
Indonesia is set to follow a passive and dependent policy in the region.

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