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Why China Won't Attack Taiwan

Why China Won't Attack Taiwan

By Zachary Keck
It is extremely unlikely that China will invade Taiwan, much less succeed.
Cowpens Incident Shows Limits of Mil-to-Mil Ties

Cowpens Incident Shows Limits of Mil-to-Mil Ties

By Zachary Keck
Unprecedented improvements in U.S.-China mil-to-mil ties have not appreciably reduced tensions.

How the US Lost the South China Sea Standoff

How the US Lost the South China Sea Standoff

By James R. Holmes
China won the Cowpens/Liaoning encounter in the South China Sea. What lessons should the US draw?

Is North Korea Preparing Its Fourth Nuclear Test?

Is North Korea Preparing Its Fourth Nuclear Test?

By Zachary Keck
While the possibility cannot be ruled out, there's little reason to believe another nuclear test is imminent.

Why Does America Only Fear Hypothetical Nukes?

Why Does America Only Fear Hypothetical Nukes?

By Zachary Keck
The US foreign policy community is far less concerned with existing nuclear arsenals than potential future ones.
The Senkaku Islands as Cold War Berlin

The Senkaku Islands as Cold War Berlin

By Zachary Keck
Despite important differences, the East China Sea dispute in many ways mirrors the Berlin question.

How to Measure an Aircraft Carrier’s Worth

How to Measure an Aircraft Carrier’s Worth

By James R. Holmes
If aircraft carriers aren’t used in battle it’s hard to justify their enormous price tag.
How to Make Coercion Work

How to Make Coercion Work

By Zachary Keck
Coercion is much tougher than deterrence but reducing objectives can make it work.

USS Cowpens and China’s First-Mover Advantage

USS Cowpens and China’s First-Mover Advantage

By James R. Holmes
The main threat to maritime Asia today is not miscalculation. It’s Beijing’s carefully calculated policies.

The Method in North Korea’s Madness

The Method in North Korea’s Madness

By Zachary Keck
The manner in which Jang Song-Thaek was purged is almost unprecedented, underscoring Kim Jong-Un’s acute insecurity.

Twilight of the Aircraft Carrier?

Twilight of the Aircraft Carrier?

By James R. Holmes
Past fears that carriers were vulnerable to new technologies weren’t proven right… nor were they proven wrong.
Preserving History and The Long Peace

Preserving History and The Long Peace

By James R. Holmes
War and peace are too complex to attribute to generational change alone. Still, preserving history can’t hurt.

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