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Blogs
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Why China Won't Attack Taiwan
By Zachary Keck
It is extremely unlikely that China will invade Taiwan, much less succeed.
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Cowpens Incident Shows Limits of Mil-to-Mil Ties
By Zachary Keck
Unprecedented improvements in U.S.-China mil-to-mil ties have not appreciably reduced tensions.
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How the US Lost the South China Sea Standoff
By James R. Holmes
China won the Cowpens/Liaoning encounter in the South China Sea. What lessons should the US draw?
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Is North Korea Preparing Its Fourth Nuclear Test?
By Zachary Keck
While the possibility cannot be ruled out, there's little reason to believe another nuclear test is imminent.
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Why Does America Only Fear Hypothetical Nukes?
By Zachary Keck
The US foreign policy community is far less concerned with existing nuclear arsenals than potential future ones.
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The Senkaku Islands as Cold War Berlin
By Zachary Keck
Despite important differences, the East China Sea dispute in many ways mirrors the Berlin question.
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How to Measure an Aircraft Carrier’s Worth
By James R. Holmes
If aircraft carriers aren’t used in battle it’s hard to justify their enormous price tag.
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How to Make Coercion Work
By Zachary Keck
Coercion is much tougher than deterrence but reducing objectives can make it work.
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USS Cowpens and China’s First-Mover Advantage
By James R. Holmes
The main threat to maritime Asia today is not miscalculation. It’s Beijing’s carefully calculated policies.
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The Method in North Korea’s Madness
By Zachary Keck
The manner in which Jang Song-Thaek was purged is almost unprecedented, underscoring Kim Jong-Un’s acute insecurity.
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Twilight of the Aircraft Carrier?
By James R. Holmes
Past fears that carriers were vulnerable to new technologies weren’t proven right… nor were they proven wrong.
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Preserving History and The Long Peace
By James R. Holmes
War and peace are too complex to attribute to generational change alone. Still, preserving history can’t hurt.