United States

A changed political situation in South Korea and the U.S. could represent an opportunity for an opening gambit. But any progress toward an agreement is contingent on the outcome of the Ukraine war. 

Moving away from the quest for military primacy would provide a more stable basis for the South Korea-U.S. alliance – one not reliant on having conservatives in government in Seoul.

Trump’s second administration includes representatives of all three foreign policy camps in the Republican Party. What does that mean for China policy?

Analysts caution that the incoming Trump administration could put Pakistan's long-range ballistic missile program under scrutiny, building upon sanctions imposed by Biden.

While the outlook for U.S. climate policy seems bleak, Trump’s pivot will open up new opportunities Taiwan – both in climate leadership and clean tech.

Drawing lessons from the back-channel diplomacy of his first term, Trump may well reengage North Korea through secret negotiations.

For Uyghur Americans, its feels like a betrayal – a signal that the U.S. may deprioritize human rights advocacy in favor of smoothing over relations with Beijing. 

Overwarning and miscommunication risk Washington’s ability to detect – and convince Taiwanese about – real threats in the Taiwan Strait.

Beijing has thus far taken a more hands-off approach to AI development than might be expected. But as AI’s power becomes clearer, that could soon change.

The Australia-Japan-U.S. partnership might be at the core of the three countries’ regional deterrence strategy, but it will only ever be as strong as its weakest link. 

A PLA command structure in disarray and a hawkish Trump Cabinet could lead to disastrous miscalculation over Taiwan.