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This week our top story looks at the deterioration in Australia-China relations – and the many below-the-surface factors keeping things from slipping too far. We also have an interview with Duncan McCargo, director of the Nordic Institute of Asian Studies and professor of political science at the University of Copenhagen, about the new force that has emerged in Thailand’s political scene.
The Diplomat Brief
November 25, 2020thediplomat.com
Welcome to the latest issue of Diplomat Brief. This week our top story looks at the deterioration in Australia-China relations – and the many below-the-surface factors keeping things from slipping too far. We also have an interview with Duncan McCargo, director of the Nordic Institute of Asian Studies and professor of political science at the University of Copenhagen, about the new force that has emerged in Thailand’s political scene.
Story of the week
Australia and China: It’s Complicated

DIPLOMACY

Australia and China: It’s Complicated

What Happened: Australia-China relationship have reached their lowest ebb in four decades, with China instituting de facto bans on Australian imports while Canberra continues to criticize China over political interference and rights issues. But behind the headlines, quiet cooperation continues at the subnational level.

Our Focus: The Australia China Chamber of Commerce “has operated in the China market for more than 25 years and many of our members have been here longer than that,” Bede Payne, the executive director of AustCham Shanghai, told The Diplomat. “Our people-to-people relationships are strong and won’t disappear overnight.”

What Comes Next: Australia’s positioning on China will inevitably be impacted by the policy choices of the incoming Biden administration in the United States. Will U.S. backing help Australia weather the frictions with China, or will Biden seek a China thaw that leaves Canberra out in the cold?

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Behind the News

Interview

Duncan McCargo

Duncan McCargo, co-author of the new book “Future Forward: The Rise and Fall of a Thai Political Party,” on Thailand’s changing politics: “Simply put, the new generation of Thais does not feel bound by older notions of deference or hierarchy, and are bold enough to say whatever is on their minds.”

Read the interview
This Week in Asia

Northeast Asia

China’s FM Heads to Japan, South Korea

China’s Foreign Minister Wang Yi is paying his first visits to Japan and South Korea since the pandemic began, seeking cooperation on COVID-19 and reassurance that the two neighbors aren’t seeking to join the U.S. in an anti-China bloc. The Japan visit has special resonance as Wang is the first Chinese official to meet new Prime Minister Suga.

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Southeast Asia

A Key Political Test for Malaysia’s Government

On November 25, Malaysia’s parliament is expected to vote on its expansive national budget for 2021, which is full to the brim with infrastructure spending and aid for businesses hit hard by COVID-19. The otherwise routine vote looms as a crucial political test for Malaysia’s besieged Prime Minister Muhyiddin Yassin, who faces a raft of internal and external challenges. If the budget fails to pass, expect another frenzy of political horse-trading.

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South Asia

India’s Outreach to Nepal Continues

Indian Foreign Secretary Harsh Vardhan Shringla is scheduled to visit Nepal on November 26 and 27. Coming on the heels of the Kathmandu visits of India's external intelligence service and army chiefs, Shringla’s trip is yet another modest milestone when it comes to bringing nosediving India-Nepal relations back on track. That said, no visible progress on resolving the border dispute between the two countries has been made so far.

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Central Asia

U.S., Uzbekistan Quietly Boost Ties

Last week, a delegation led by Uzbek Foreign Minister Abdulaziz Kamilov popped around Washington for Uzbekistan's Annual Bilateral Consultations. Buried in the joint statement was this hopeful nugget: Plans are in the works for the U.S. Peace Corps to return to Uzbekistan, more than 15 years after it was kicked out.

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Visualizing APAC

SOCIETY

The Impact of Floods and Landslides on Central Vietnam

A collapsed home caused by a landslide in Tay Giang. Consecutive storms and typhoons have affected at least 1.5 million people in central Vietnam since October.

See the full picture
Word of the Week

POLITICS

लव जिहाद

“Love jihad”: A pejorative term used in India to describe inter-faith marriages involving Muslim men and Hindu women. Some state governments are controversially suggesting legislation is needed to prevent religious conversion upon marriage.

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The Diplomat BriefBell AH-1Z Viper
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The Diplomat Magazine | November 2020

The State of Democracy in Asia

This month, we evaluate the state of democracy across the Asia-Pacific subregions: East Asia, Southeast Asia, South Asia, and Central Asia. We also untangle the extent of India’s economic reliance on China (and the possibility of truly “boycotting China”), explore Vietnam’s surprisingly deft pivot to virtual diplomacy as ASEAN chair, and run down the messy, at time chaotic developments since Kyrgyzstan’s since-annulled parliamentary election. And, of course, we offer a range of reporting, analysis, and opinion from across the region.

Read the Magazine
Diplomat Risk Intelligence