Region
Central Asia
Folly of the Iran “Hail Mary” Pass
The Iranian regime won’t last forever. Squeezing Iran tighter through sanctions and the threat of an attack will sour Western ties with its successor and may encourage Tehran to go nuclear.
Syria and the New Cold War
The unrest in Syria has underscored a broader Middle East game being played between the United States, Russia and China.
Obama’s Special Forces Fascination
Barack Obama’s attraction to unconventional operations has perhaps only been rivaled by John F. Kennedy. But plans for a floating base have their limits.
Iran’s Asymmetric Threat
Iran’s navy may not be a match for the U.S. on the high seas, but the Strait of Hormuz offers plenty of ways for it to make life tricky.
Iran: Between U.S. and a Hard Place
Iran’s supreme leader has built much of his legitimacy around demonizing the United States. So what could he really offer in talks with the U.S.?
Is Taliban Serious About Talks?
Plans to establish a Taliban political liaison office in Qatar suggest peace talks may finally make progress. But are the Taliban really ready to stop fighting?
Five Reasons Not to Attack Iran
Iran would likely be a far more formidable adversary than any the United States has faced in decades. The U.S. should be very wary about launching military strikes.
Pakistan’s Roller Coaster 2012
Last year was an unsettling year for Pakistanis. With political upheaval and security threats looming, 2012 will likely bring more of the same.
Will Iran Lash Out at Weak Israel?
A cornered Iranian supreme leader might be tempted to boost his domestic standing by lashing out at Israel. Israel is ill-equipped to respond.
Iran’s Empty Threats
Iran’s military could probably make life uncomfortable for the U.S. in the Strait of Hormuz. But the downsides far outweigh the advantages of trying.
Mullah Omar: Last Man Standing
Osama bin Laden is dead, but his close ally and Taliban chief Mullah Omar still complicates the future of Afghanistan.
Iran’s Imperfect Trap for Obama
The threat to blockade the Strait of Hormuz could come back to haunt Iran’s leaders. Still, Obama will be wary of becoming the second president to come unstuck over Iran.