Tag
China invasion of Taiwan

Taiwan’s Youth Are Not Defeatist — and The Data Proves It
By Wen-Chin Wu and Hsin-Hsin Pan
A wide body of academic surveys with nationally representative samples shows Taiwanese people’s willingness to fight to defend their homeland, including those under 30.

China Watches, Taiwan Learns: Ukraine’s War and the Indo-Pacific
By Benedetta Girardi, Davis Ellison, and Tim Sweijs
Over the course of a year-long study, we analyzed the campaign in Ukraine, comparing it with Taiwan’s military strategies and defense posture. Here’s what we found.

Why China’s New ‘Special Barges’ Are a Worrying Sign for Taiwan
By Jhih-Siang Liu and Yuan-Chou Jing
The new vessels, a prime example of China’s civil-military fusion strategy, aim to enhance the PLA’s amphibious landing operations.

Chinese Amphibious Warfare: Taiwan Targeted, Scenarios Swirling
By Andrew S. Erickson
Part two of a two-part series detailing China’s amphibious warfare and the implications for Taiwan.

China’s Amphibious Warfare: History, Doctrine, and Forces
By Andrew S. Erickson
Part one of a two-part series detailing China’s amphibious warfare and the implications for Taiwan.

Left on Read: America’s Taiwan Warning Crisis
By Noah Reed and Jonathan Walberg
Overwarning and miscommunication risk Washington’s ability to detect – and convince Taiwanese about – real threats in the Taiwan Strait.

The Falklands War of 1982: Lessons for a Potential 21st Century China-US Conflict Over Taiwan
By Martin Mitchell
While the situations are not identical, the tactical and geopolitical parallels make the Falklands War worth studying in the Taiwan context.

Rethinking Taiwan’s Defense Preparedness in the Context of Whole-of-Society Resilience
By Calvin Chu and Kuang-Cheng Hsu
In the face of hybrid warfare and nontraditional threats, Taiwan's defense budget includes more than military expenditure.

Kinmen Is Unlikely to Become Taiwan’s Crimea
By Justyna Szczudlik
China’s gray zone and cognitive warfare tactics are one issue; a Crimea-like scenario is another. We should not confuse the two.

Delayed US Arms Transfers to Taiwan: Déjà Vu?
By Jung-Ming Chang and Che-Jen Wang
The situation recalls the early 1950s, when U.S. arms sales to Taiwan were delayed by other priorities. Unfortunately, Taiwan’s need is much greater today.

What to Make of Biden’s Latest Promise to Defend Taiwan
By Dean P. Chen
A range of intertwined international and domestic factors are driving Washington’s current policy toward the Taiwan Strait.

China Is Drawing Lessons From D-Day for an Invasion of Taiwan
By Lyle Goldstein
China has systematically studied the Allied landing at Normandy to inform its planning for an assault on Taiwan.

Yes, Japan Will Defend Taiwan
By Ryan C. Bercaw
For Japan, peace in the Taiwan Strait is a matter of national survival. A proper discussion of Japanese intervention should thus ask “how” not “if.”

How Would China Weaponize Disinformation Against Taiwan in a Cross-Strait Conflict?
By Scott W. Harold
What might China’s future disinformation operations against Taiwan focus on and how can Taipei and its partners combat them?

The Demographic Costs of a War Over Taiwan
By Fuxian Yi
China’s population is already shrinking. The further demographic consequences of a Taiwan invasion would be devastating.

Taiwan’s Earthquake Resilience: Lessons for a Cross-Strait Conflict
By Hiro Fu
Taiwan’s earthquake preparedness comes from decades of regulation and work in building structural and societal resilience. It must do the same in preparation for a potential conflict with China.

China Looks to Ukraine War for Guidance on Attack Helicopters
By Lyle Goldstein and Nathan Waechter
With respect to Russian airpower, Chinese strategists continue to be quite fixated on Russian attack helicopter operations in Ukraine.

Most Experts Agree: China Isn’t About to Invade Taiwan
By Alexis von Sydow
A new report from the Swedish National China Centre finds that forecasts consistently rate the risk of armed conflict in the Taiwan strait as low.

Understanding China’s Approach to Deterrence
By Michael Clarke
China’s approach to deterrence involves compelling as well as dissuading, and is intertwined with the idea of “war control.”

China’s 2024 Priorities Tucked in Xi Jinping’s New Year Speech
By Nick Carraway
The president’s speech has a clear goal of boosting Chinese people’s declining confidence amid the past difficult years.

China Won’t Invade Taiwan – For Now
By Philip Hou
China is turning inwards, the U.S. is building deterrence, and Taiwan is committed to maintaining the status quo – all these factors will help keep the peace.

Beyond the Battlefield: China’s Quiet Bid to Sway Taiwan’s 2024 Election (and Future)
By Shaoyu Yuan and Jun Xiang
In the psychological sense, China’s “invasion” of Taiwan is well underway.

Philippines’ New National Security Plan Falls Short on Taiwan Policy
By Robin Michael Garcia and Thomas J. Shattuck
Manila’s latest National Security Policy does not reflect the catastrophic implications of a cross-strait conflict for the country's security.

India’s Conundrum in the Next Taiwan Strait Crisis
By Ayush Mohan
Given the stakes involved, India needs to prepare for a potential conflict in the Taiwan Strait. But how?
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