China invasion of Taiwan
March 21, 2023
South Korea Will Stay Out of a Taiwan Strait War
By Denny Roy
There is good reason to think South Korea would limit its support to actions near the low end of the spectrum.
February 28, 2023
What ABC Missed About Australia’s Interests in Taiwan
By Grant Wyeth
A recent article series assumed that Australia would only defend Taiwan because the U.S. demands it. But Australia has its own reasons to act.
February 07, 2023
Will Xi Jinping Make Taiwan a New Offer?
By Jianli Yang
With “one country, two systems” losing its appeal to Taiwan, Xi Jinping tapped top CCP ideologue Wang Huning to craft China’s new Taiwan unification theory.
February 06, 2023
Taiwan Strait Conflict Scenarios
By Mercy A. Kuo
Insights from Peter Richardson.
January 31, 2023
Wargaming a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan: ‘Victory Is Not Enough’
By Mercy A. Kuo
Insights from Mark Cancian.
January 23, 2023
What the US Gets Wrong About Taiwan and Deterrence
By Michael D. Swaine
Rather than preventing a war with China over Taiwan, a policy centered on military deterrence could spark one.
January 20, 2023
10 Reasons Xi Won’t Attack Taiwan Anytime Soon
By Hemant Adlakha
Yes, Chinese leader Xi Jinping has ambitions for absorbing Taiwan. But so did all his predecessors.
January 19, 2023
Russia’s Irrational War in Ukraine Should Be a Warning for Predicting China’s Behavior
By Jan Švec
Many of the factors that led to Putin’s disastrous decision are also present in China’s authoritarian system.
January 14, 2023
The US and China: Deterrence in the Danger Zone
By E. John Teichert
Success depends on decreasing the perceived likelihood that a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would succeed, minimizing the perceived benefits, and increasing the expected costs.
December 10, 2022
Suppose the US Defeats a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan. What Then?
By Connor Swank
A Taiwan conflict in which the United States and its allies win the battles but lose the war would not be a historical first.
October 21, 2022
China and Taiwan: The Geopolitical Crisis Hiding in Plain Sight
By Peter Birgbauer
Can the international community see through the fog of its current crises and adequately prepare for an even bigger crisis further down the road?
October 06, 2022
China’s Real Takeaway From the War in Ukraine: Grey Zone Conflict Is Best
By Tobias Burgers and Scott N. Romaniuk
The steep costs of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will bolster China's continued use of its effective salami-slicing and grey zone tactics.
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