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China invasion of Taiwan

South Korea Will Stay Out of a Taiwan Strait War
March 21, 2023

South Korea Will Stay Out of a Taiwan Strait War

By Denny Roy
There is good reason to think South Korea would limit its support to actions near the low end of the spectrum.

What ABC Missed About Australia’s Interests in Taiwan
February 28, 2023

What ABC Missed About Australia’s Interests in Taiwan

By Grant Wyeth
A recent article series assumed that Australia would only defend Taiwan because the U.S. demands it. But Australia has its own reasons to act.
Will Xi Jinping Make Taiwan a New Offer?
February 07, 2023

Will Xi Jinping Make Taiwan a New Offer?

By Jianli Yang
With “one country, two systems” losing its appeal to Taiwan, Xi Jinping tapped top CCP ideologue Wang Huning to craft China’s new Taiwan unification theory.

Taiwan Strait Conflict Scenarios
February 06, 2023

Taiwan Strait Conflict Scenarios

By Mercy A. Kuo
Insights from Peter Richardson. 

Wargaming a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan: ‘Victory Is Not Enough’
January 31, 2023

Wargaming a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan: ‘Victory Is Not Enough’

By Mercy A. Kuo
Insights from Mark Cancian.

What the US Gets Wrong About Taiwan and Deterrence
January 23, 2023

What the US Gets Wrong About Taiwan and Deterrence

By Michael D. Swaine
Rather than preventing a war with China over Taiwan, a policy centered on military deterrence could spark one.

10 Reasons Xi Won’t Attack Taiwan Anytime Soon  
January 20, 2023

10 Reasons Xi Won’t Attack Taiwan Anytime Soon  

By Hemant Adlakha
Yes, Chinese leader Xi Jinping has ambitions for absorbing Taiwan. But so did all his predecessors. 
Russia’s Irrational War in Ukraine Should Be a Warning for Predicting China’s Behavior 
January 19, 2023

Russia’s Irrational War in Ukraine Should Be a Warning for Predicting China’s Behavior 

By Jan Švec
Many of the factors that led to Putin’s disastrous decision are also present in China’s authoritarian system.

The US and China: Deterrence in the Danger Zone
January 14, 2023

The US and China: Deterrence in the Danger Zone

By E. John Teichert
Success depends on decreasing the perceived likelihood that a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would succeed, minimizing the perceived benefits, and increasing the expected costs. 

Suppose the US Defeats a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan. What Then?
December 10, 2022

Suppose the US Defeats a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan. What Then?

By Connor Swank
A Taiwan conflict in which the United States and its allies win the battles but lose the war would not be a historical first.

China and Taiwan: The Geopolitical Crisis Hiding in Plain Sight
October 21, 2022

China and Taiwan: The Geopolitical Crisis Hiding in Plain Sight

By Peter Birgbauer
Can the international community see through the fog of its current crises and adequately prepare for an even bigger crisis further down the road?
China’s Real Takeaway From the War in Ukraine: Grey Zone Conflict Is Best
October 06, 2022

China’s Real Takeaway From the War in Ukraine: Grey Zone Conflict Is Best

By Tobias Burgers and Scott N. Romaniuk
The steep costs of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will bolster China's continued use of its effective salami-slicing and grey zone tactics.

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