China invasion of Taiwan

A recent article series assumed that Australia would only defend Taiwan because the U.S. demands it. But Australia has its own reasons to act.

With “one country, two systems” losing its appeal to Taiwan, Xi Jinping tapped top CCP ideologue Wang Huning to craft China’s new Taiwan unification theory.

Insights from Peter Richardson. 

Insights from Mark Cancian.

Rather than preventing a war with China over Taiwan, a policy centered on military deterrence could spark one.

Yes, Chinese leader Xi Jinping has ambitions for absorbing Taiwan. But so did all his predecessors. 

Many of the factors that led to Putin’s disastrous decision are also present in China’s authoritarian system.

Success depends on decreasing the perceived likelihood that a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would succeed, minimizing the perceived benefits, and increasing the expected costs. 

A Taiwan conflict in which the United States and its allies win the battles but lose the war would not be a historical first.

Can the international community see through the fog of its current crises and adequately prepare for an even bigger crisis further down the road?

The steep costs of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine will bolster China's continued use of its effective salami-slicing and grey zone tactics.