Tag
China Taiwan strategy

Did the US Just Change Its Taiwan Policy?
By Bruce Xin Tao
Updates to a State Department factsheet on Taiwan could indicate a tactical adjustment or a strategic shift.

Trump’s Ukraine Peace Gambit: Consequences for Taiwan’s Security
By Zi Yang
The settlement of the Ukraine conflict in a manner reminiscent of the 1938 Munich Agreement could entice more states to resolve disputes militarily. Taiwan especially looks ever more vulnerable.

Beijing’s Targeting of Taiwan’s Undersea Cables Previews Cross-Strait Tensions Under a Trump Presidency
By Hans Horan
We can expect China to test the resilience of the Taiwan-U.S. partnership under Trump with more gray-zone operations.

Missing in the Gray Zone? China’s Maritime Militia Forces Around Taiwan
By Ryan D. Martinson
While maritime militia forces are not playing a major role in China’s multi-pronged pressure campaign against Taiwan, they are not completely absent from the battlespace.

PLA Maneuvers Near Taiwan in December: Misperceptions and Strategic Realities
By Yu-cheng Chen
Although China continues to employ military force as a primary tool for deterring Taiwan, the recent series of military activities differs significantly from previous operations.

China’s Amphibious Warfare: History, Doctrine, and Forces
By Andrew S. Erickson
Part one of a two-part series detailing China’s amphibious warfare and the implications for Taiwan.

Perfect Storm: The Rising Risk of China-US Conflict Over Taiwan
By William Matthews
A PLA command structure in disarray and a hawkish Trump Cabinet could lead to disastrous miscalculation over Taiwan.

China Conducts More Military Drills Around Taiwan
By Shannon Tiezzi
The drills were ostensibly a response to the National Day speech by Taiwan's president, which many overseas analysts had viewed as restrained.

Will Kinmen Be Taiwan’s Crimea?
By Sam Goodman
A relatively pro-China population and proximity to the mainland mean Beijing might test the waters by attempting to annex the Kinmen Islands.

The Iran Factor in the China-Taiwan-US Triangle
By Thiago de Aragao
China could seek to use Iran as a tool to push the United States farther and farther from Taiwan.

Beyond the Battlefield: China’s Quiet Bid to Sway Taiwan’s 2024 Election (and Future)
By Shaoyu Yuan and Jun Xiang
In the psychological sense, China’s “invasion” of Taiwan is well underway.

Taiwan Should Follow the Philippines’ Model for Revealing China’s Gray Zone Tactics
By Thomas J. Shattuck, Benjamin Lewis, and Kenneth Allen
Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense should amplify its disclosures of PLA activity to reap the most benefits from its transparency initiative.

China’s Word Game: A New Narrative of the “One China Principle”
By Chien-Huei Wu, Ching-Fu Lin, and Yun-Sheng Lin
China has been attempting to camouflage its “one China principle” as a “general principle of law” in the international arena to strengthen the legitimacy of its claim over Taiwan.

Will China Embrace Nuclear Brinkmanship as It Reaches Nuclear Parity?
By Michael Tkacik
In the future, China may incorporate nuclear weapons into its framework of political threats, intimidation, and even the use of force to achieve its international goals.

China’s Military Exercises Near Taiwan: Signaling and War Scares
By Narantsatsral Enkhbat
Beijing uses military exercises for a wide variety of reasons, from military training purposes to political and strategic ends.

China’s Naval ‘Silkworm Eating’ Strategy for Taiwan
By Andrew Orchard
A look at how the gradual encroachment strategy plays out with the People’s Liberation Army Navy surface force.

China’s Weapon of Choice in Taiwan
By Chihwei Yu
While military operations spark the most attention, China prefers an easier path: spreading disinformation and fake news in Taiwan.

Suppose the US Defeats a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan. What Then?
By Connor Swank
A Taiwan conflict in which the United States and its allies win the battles but lose the war would not be a historical first.

US-China-Taiwan Tensions: New Status Quo?
By Mercy A. Kuo
Insights from Eric Chan

Crossing the Line: The Makings of the 4th Taiwan Strait Crisis?
By Olli Pekka Suorsa and Adrian Ang U-Jin
The PLA response to Pelosi’s Taiwan visit represents the riskiest and most intense challenge to the median line to date.

The Realist Underpinnings of China’s Taiwan Strategy
By Corey Lee Bell
Yes, “reunification” is a matter of national pride and prestige for China. But isolating Taiwan also serves a critical strategic function – and that helps explain Beijing’s response to Pelosi’s visit.

Beijing’s Strategic Dilemma on Cross-Strait Relations
By Zhenze Huang
China has been forced into a reactive position when it comes to cross-strait relations, largely thanks to its inflexibility.

Can the US Deter a Taiwan Invasion?
By David Gitter
Rethinking “strategic ambiguity” is important, but in the meantime Washington must compensate for its dwindling military advantage over China with more costly signals of political resolve.

Look to Hong Kong, Not Ukraine, For Signals About China’s Taiwan Plans
By Dennis Kwok and Johnny Patterson
Few took it seriously when Xi Jinping first said he would consolidate control over Hong Kong. We must not make the same mistake when analyzing Xi's plans for Taiwan.
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