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Biden and the Credibility Conundrum: What If China Attacks Taiwan?
December 22, 2020

Biden and the Credibility Conundrum: What If China Attacks Taiwan?

By Robert Farley
American presidents have worried about the credibility of their threats since the beginning of the Nuclear Age.

What Happens When the United States Develops a Credible Reputation for Incompetence?
July 24, 2017

What Happens When the United States Develops a Credible Reputation for Incompetence?

By Robert Farley
What if the United States develops a credible reputation for incompetence?
Resolved: North Korea Needs More Resolve
April 20, 2017

Resolved: North Korea Needs More Resolve

By Robert Farley
The politics of credibility are complex and ephemeral.

Did Obama's 'Red Line' Fib Matter in the End?
March 12, 2016

Did Obama's 'Red Line' Fib Matter in the End?

By Robert Farley
The importance of credibility in international affairs is often overestimated.

Taiwan: The Ultimate Red Line
March 01, 2016

Taiwan: The Ultimate Red Line

By Kerry Brown
With China testing boundaries in Hong Kong and the South China Sea, could Taiwan be next?

The Real Lesson of the Vietnam War
February 20, 2015

The Real Lesson of the Vietnam War

By Robert Farley
Vietnam didn't reinforce perceptions of U.S. toughness to allies. In fact, it may have done the opposite.

It Doesn't Matter if China 'Blinked'
August 07, 2014

It Doesn't Matter if China 'Blinked'

By Robert Farley
Let's stop obsessing over reputational costs in crises.
Erectile Dysfunction and Strategy
June 06, 2014

Erectile Dysfunction and Strategy

By Robert Farley
Let's not get too caught up in the notion of credibility.

US Pacific Command Plans Responses for Unilateral Chinese Coercion
April 29, 2014

US Pacific Command Plans Responses for Unilateral Chinese Coercion

By Ankit Panda
In order to boost its credibility, the US is gearing up to respond in kind to unilateral Chinese provocations in Asia.

Why Don’t Allies Trust the US?
October 29, 2013

Why Don’t Allies Trust the US?

The US is currently suffering a crisis of credibility with its allies across the globe. What explains their distrust?

Adversaries Determine Credibility
September 18, 2013

Adversaries Determine Credibility

When it comes to credibility and reputation, the adversaries’ perceptions are all that matter.

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