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future of conflict

The Coming Age of Strategic Annoyance
April 29, 2021

The Coming Age of Strategic Annoyance

By Jacob Parakilas
Small drones, used unpredictably, could conceivably force defenders to adopt a wearying posture of constant readiness and uncertainty.

Welcome to the Fog of More
April 09, 2021

Welcome to the Fog of More

By Jacob Parakilas
There’s a deeper problem with how we perceive the world than misinformation, disinformation, and propaganda: it’s that we expect that big data means better understanding.
US Defense Secretary Notes Climate Change Focus in Message to Force
March 06, 2021

US Defense Secretary Notes Climate Change Focus in Message to Force

By Abhijnan Rej
Lloyd Austin’s message foregrounds one of the key priorities of the Biden administration for the military.

Militaries Are Planning for an Autonomous Revolution. What if the Tech Isn’t Up to It?
January 13, 2021

Militaries Are Planning for an Autonomous Revolution. What if the Tech Isn’t Up to It?

By Jacob Parakilas
The path to robust, reliable military autonomy is long and winding – with a lot of potential dead ends.

The Lesson of 2020? Security Doesn’t Mean What You Think It Does
December 23, 2020

The Lesson of 2020? Security Doesn’t Mean What You Think It Does

By Jacob Parakilas
And science and technology will only take us so far when it comes to future threats, conventional or otherwise.

Imagination, Probability, and War
October 29, 2020

Imagination, Probability, and War

By Jacob Parakilas
Artificial intelligence may help us make sense of large, complex questions, but imagining the future of war needs to remain a fundamentally human exercise.

The Impact of Fiction on the Future of War
December 07, 2019

The Impact of Fiction on the Future of War

By Franz-Stefan Gady
Rather than fighting the last war, as the old axiom goes, are military leaders more susceptible to fighting the wars of their favorite fiction novels?
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