Tag
Taiwan Strait crisis
Trump’s Ukraine Peace Gambit: Consequences for Taiwan’s Security
By Zi Yang
The settlement of the Ukraine conflict in a manner reminiscent of the 1938 Munich Agreement could entice more states to resolve disputes militarily. Taiwan especially looks ever more vulnerable.
Left on Read: America’s Taiwan Warning Crisis
By Noah Reed and Jonathan Walberg
Overwarning and miscommunication risk Washington’s ability to detect – and convince Taiwanese about – real threats in the Taiwan Strait.
Perfect Storm: The Rising Risk of China-US Conflict Over Taiwan
By William Matthews
A PLA command structure in disarray and a hawkish Trump Cabinet could lead to disastrous miscalculation over Taiwan.
Kinmen Is Unlikely to Become Taiwan’s Crimea
By Justyna Szczudlik
China’s gray zone and cognitive warfare tactics are one issue; a Crimea-like scenario is another. We should not confuse the two.
Delayed US Arms Transfers to Taiwan: Déjà Vu?
By Jung-Ming Chang and Che-Jen Wang
The situation recalls the early 1950s, when U.S. arms sales to Taiwan were delayed by other priorities. Unfortunately, Taiwan’s need is much greater today.
Iran’s Mass Strike on Israel Highlights Why Taiwan’s Air Defenses Can’t Hold up
By A. B. Abrams
The Iranian operation highlights the difficulties that air defense efforts face, particularly when relying on costly Western equipment to counter large volumes of low-cost drones and missiles.
How Would China Weaponize Disinformation Against Taiwan in a Cross-Strait Conflict?
By Scott W. Harold
What might China’s future disinformation operations against Taiwan focus on and how can Taipei and its partners combat them?
The Demographic Costs of a War Over Taiwan
By Fuxian Yi
China’s population is already shrinking. The further demographic consequences of a Taiwan invasion would be devastating.
In a Crisis, Could China Coerce Taiwan Through Cyberspace?
By Seamus Boyle
It’s important to understand China’s approach to offensive cyber operations in a potential Taiwan Strait crisis falling below the threshold of war.
Most Experts Agree: China Isn’t About to Invade Taiwan
By Alexis von Sydow
A new report from the Swedish National China Centre finds that forecasts consistently rate the risk of armed conflict in the Taiwan strait as low.
The Iran Factor in the China-Taiwan-US Triangle
By Thiago de Aragao
China could seek to use Iran as a tool to push the United States farther and farther from Taiwan.
The Munich Agreement: 3 Historical Lessons for the Taiwan Strait
By Yipeng Zhang and Jonghyuk Lee
While parallels are often overdone, the infamous attempt to appease Nazi Germany does hold lessons for contemporary China-U.S. relations.
China Won’t Invade Taiwan – For Now
By Philip Hou
China is turning inwards, the U.S. is building deterrence, and Taiwan is committed to maintaining the status quo – all these factors will help keep the peace.
Taiwan Strait Tensions: Don’t Blame the Victim
By Chieh-Ting Yeh
The rush to find a China-U.S. modus vivendi on Taiwan often involves intentionally overlooking the unequal nature of “provocations.”
Taiwan: The Paradox of Preserving the Status Quo
By Wu Jieh-min
Divergent interpretations of the status quo can coexist during peacetime. But with tensions rising, it's getting tricky to keep the balance.
Taiwan Strait Tensions Will Stabilize – But Only Temporarily
By Denny Roy
Taiwan’s election season will likely stabilize the cross-strait situation, but all bets are off when the new administration comes into office.
India’s Conundrum in the Next Taiwan Strait Crisis
By Ayush Mohan
Given the stakes involved, India needs to prepare for a potential conflict in the Taiwan Strait. But how?
Preventing a Humanitarian Catastrophe in Taiwan
By Eric James
A cross-strait conflict would involve tremendous human suffering – and major difficulties in providing humanitarian aid.
Western Banks’ Collusion With the CCP Should Raise Alarms
By Sam Goodman
Already, banks like HSBC are obeying Beijing’s orders to block Hong Kongers’ access to assets. Things could get much worse if conflict breaks out in the Taiwan Strait.
China’s Military Exercises Near Taiwan: Signaling and War Scares
By Narantsatsral Enkhbat
Beijing uses military exercises for a wide variety of reasons, from military training purposes to political and strategic ends.
Suppose the US Defeats a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan. What Then?
By Connor Swank
A Taiwan conflict in which the United States and its allies win the battles but lose the war would not be a historical first.
Will India and China Escape the Thucydides’ Trap?
By Jagannath Panda
A Taiwan Strait conflict could also spark a Sino-Indian war in the Himalayas.
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines’ Diplomatic Efforts During the Latest Taiwan Strait Flare-up
By Nand C. Bardouille
The prime minister of Saint Vincent and the Grenadines visited Taiwan even while China’s military drills surrounding the island were ongoing. Here’s why.
Taiwan Strait Crisis Strengthens US Resolve to Support Taiwan, Counter China
By Robert Sutter
The Washington Consensus remains united and the direction of U.S. policy is clear.
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