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Thucydides Trap

Japan, Quad 3.0, and the Thucydides Trap in the Indo-Pacific
November 29, 2022

Japan, Quad 3.0, and the Thucydides Trap in the Indo-Pacific

By Daisuke Akimoto
The Thucydides trap cannot be overlooked in considering Japan’s national security strategy in conjunction with the Quad as well as the Japan-U.S. alliance.

Will India and China Escape the Thucydides’ Trap?
September 12, 2022

Will India and China Escape the Thucydides’ Trap?

By Jagannath Panda
A Taiwan Strait conflict could also spark a Sino-Indian war in the Himalayas.
For the US and China, Thucydides’ Trap Is Closing
June 11, 2020

For the US and China, Thucydides’ Trap Is Closing

By Kevin Brown
Intertwined domestic crises are adding pressure for Donald Trump and Xi Jinping to seek out confrontation.

China and the Mediterranean: Geostrategic Context and Contest
March 04, 2020

China and the Mediterranean: Geostrategic Context and Contest

By Mercy A. Kuo
Insights from Barry Strauss.

A Thucydides Fallacy: The New Model of Power Relations for Southeast Asia, the US, and China
July 27, 2019

A Thucydides Fallacy: The New Model of Power Relations for Southeast Asia, the US, and China

By Danny Quah
Have Southeast Asia, the United States, and China shifted to a new model of power relations?

Thucydides and US Politics Revisited
October 31, 2018

Thucydides and US Politics Revisited

By Franz-Stefan Gady
The Greek historian’s lessons for contemporary politics are not as straightforward as some commentators suggest.

How to Avoid the Thucydides Trap: The Missing Piece
March 07, 2018

How to Avoid the Thucydides Trap: The Missing Piece

By Francis P. Sempa
A recent volume gets the limits of U.S. power right, but doesn’t spend enough time on the limits of diplomacy and accommodation.
Hey Policy Wonks, This Is How You Should Read Thucydides
August 28, 2017

Hey Policy Wonks, This Is How You Should Read Thucydides

By Franz-Stefan Gady
Authors like Thucydides require careful reading and musing to get to the core of their arguments.

Thucydides’ Ignored Lesson
August 11, 2017

Thucydides’ Ignored Lesson

By Franz-Stefan Gady
Forget quick victories; great power wars are usually determined by protracted attrition warfare.

Graham Allison on the 'Thucydides Trap'
July 29, 2017

Graham Allison on the 'Thucydides Trap'

By Shannon Tiezzi
“If leaders just keep doing what they have been doing... the odds that they stumble to war seem to me greater than even.”

The 'Silver Way': An Alternative to 'Thucydides Trap'
June 19, 2017

The 'Silver Way': An Alternative to 'Thucydides Trap'

By Peter Gordon and Juan José Morales
Graham Allison's famous formula overlooks a crucial historical example: a rising Spain meeting a powerful China.
US-China Relations: Public Diplomacy and Soft Power
December 05, 2016

US-China Relations: Public Diplomacy and Soft Power

By Mercy A. Kuo
Insights from Ambassador Julia Chang Bloch.

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