Menu
Account
Thucydides’ Ignored Lesson
August 11, 2017
Thucydides’ Ignored Lesson
Forget quick victories; great power wars are usually determined by protracted attrition warfare.
Thucydides’ Ignored Lesson
Graham Allison on the 'Thucydides Trap'
July 29, 2017
Graham Allison on the 'Thucydides Trap'
“If leaders just keep doing what they have been doing... the odds that they stumble to war seem to me greater than even.”
Graham Allison on the 'Thucydides Trap'
The 'Silver Way': An Alternative to 'Thucydides Trap'
June 19, 2017
The 'Silver Way': An Alternative to 'Thucydides Trap'
Graham Allison's famous formula overlooks a crucial historical example: a rising Spain meeting a powerful China.
The 'Silver Way': An Alternative to 'Thucydides Trap'
US-China Relations: Public Diplomacy and Soft Power
December 05, 2016
US-China Relations: Public Diplomacy and Soft Power
Insights from Ambassador Julia Chang Bloch.
US-China Relations: Public Diplomacy and Soft Power
The Pivot to Asia: Sustainment or Appeasement?
August 24, 2016
The Pivot to Asia: Sustainment or Appeasement?
A new recommended outline for U.S. Asia policy comes dangerously close to simply ceding U.S. interests in the region.
The Pivot to Asia: Sustainment or Appeasement?
How to Avoid War in the South China Sea
July 21, 2016
How to Avoid War in the South China Sea
War between China and the United States is not inevitable.
How to Avoid War in the South China Sea
The US-China Power Transition: Stage II
June 30, 2016
The US-China Power Transition: Stage II
China's assertiveness -- and U.S. hedging -- is a natural part of a power transition. It's also dangerous.
The US-China Power Transition: Stage II
Fear and Honor: The Other Side of US-China 'Thucydides Trap'
April 27, 2016
Fear and Honor: The Other Side of US-China 'Thucydides Trap'
China's "assertiveness" is much discussed. What about the role of U.S. fear?
Fear and Honor: The Other Side of US-China 'Thucydides Trap'
Interview: Joseph Nye
October 30, 2015
Interview: Joseph Nye
“The U.S. and China are deeply entangled, and that state is largely a good thing.”
Interview: Joseph Nye
Pride and Prejudice: The Drivers of China-US Conflict
June 26, 2015
Pride and Prejudice: The Drivers of China-US Conflict
Conflict between the two powers has been and will be the norm.
Pride and Prejudice: The Drivers of China-US Conflict
Is Thucydides Helpful in Explaining Sino-US Relations?
May 20, 2015
Is Thucydides Helpful in Explaining Sino-US Relations?
Is conflict exceedingly likely when a rising power approaches parity with an established power?
Is Thucydides Helpful in Explaining Sino-US Relations?
What’s Wrong With US-China Relations?
May 15, 2015
What’s Wrong With US-China Relations?
A round-up of the recent debate over the U.S.-China relationship, and how best to fix it.
What’s Wrong With US-China Relations?
Must the United States Fight China?
May 13, 2015
Must the United States Fight China?
Neither country “should act on the self-fulfilling expectation that conflict between them is inevitable.”
Must the United States Fight China?
The Real Thucydides’ Trap
May 06, 2015
The Real Thucydides’ Trap
The popular expression only captures half of the true meaning of Thucydides’ work.
The Real Thucydides’ Trap
China-US: Avoiding the ‘Improbable War’
April 10, 2015
China-US: Avoiding the ‘Improbable War’
Might the U.S. and China be repeating the mistakes that led to the improbable wars of the past?
China-US: Avoiding the ‘Improbable War’
China-US Reconciliation and the East Asian Security Order
July 18, 2014
China-US Reconciliation and the East Asian Security Order
China and the US need to make another grand bargain and transform the regional security order.
China-US Reconciliation and the East Asian Security Order
Newsletter
Sign up for our weekly newsletter
The Diplomat Brief