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Thucydides Trap

A Thucydides Fallacy: The New Model of Power Relations for Southeast Asia, the US, and China
July 27, 2019

A Thucydides Fallacy: The New Model of Power Relations for Southeast Asia, the US, and China

By Danny Quah
Have Southeast Asia, the United States, and China shifted to a new model of power relations?

Thucydides and US Politics Revisited
October 31, 2018

Thucydides and US Politics Revisited

By Franz-Stefan Gady
The Greek historian’s lessons for contemporary politics are not as straightforward as some commentators suggest.
How to Avoid the Thucydides Trap: The Missing Piece
March 07, 2018

How to Avoid the Thucydides Trap: The Missing Piece

By Francis P. Sempa
A recent volume gets the limits of U.S. power right, but doesn’t spend enough time on the limits of diplomacy and accommodation.

Hey Policy Wonks, This Is How You Should Read Thucydides
August 28, 2017

Hey Policy Wonks, This Is How You Should Read Thucydides

By Franz-Stefan Gady
Authors like Thucydides require careful reading and musing to get to the core of their arguments.

Thucydides’ Ignored Lesson
August 11, 2017

Thucydides’ Ignored Lesson

By Franz-Stefan Gady
Forget quick victories; great power wars are usually determined by protracted attrition warfare.

Graham Allison on the 'Thucydides Trap'
July 29, 2017

Graham Allison on the 'Thucydides Trap'

By Shannon Tiezzi
“If leaders just keep doing what they have been doing... the odds that they stumble to war seem to me greater than even.”

The 'Silver Way': An Alternative to 'Thucydides Trap'
June 19, 2017

The 'Silver Way': An Alternative to 'Thucydides Trap'

By Peter Gordon and Juan José Morales
Graham Allison's famous formula overlooks a crucial historical example: a rising Spain meeting a powerful China.
US-China Relations: Public Diplomacy and Soft Power
December 05, 2016

US-China Relations: Public Diplomacy and Soft Power

By Mercy A. Kuo
Insights from Ambassador Julia Chang Bloch.

The Pivot to Asia: Sustainment or Appeasement?
August 24, 2016

The Pivot to Asia: Sustainment or Appeasement?

By Francis P. Sempa
A new recommended outline for U.S. Asia policy comes dangerously close to simply ceding U.S. interests in the region.

How to Avoid War in the South China Sea
July 21, 2016

How to Avoid War in the South China Sea

By Walter C. Clemens, Jr.
War between China and the United States is not inevitable.

The US-China Power Transition: Stage II
June 30, 2016

The US-China Power Transition: Stage II

By David Lai
China's assertiveness -- and U.S. hedging -- is a natural part of a power transition. It's also dangerous.
Fear and Honor: The Other Side of US-China 'Thucydides Trap'
April 27, 2016

Fear and Honor: The Other Side of US-China 'Thucydides Trap'

By Dingding Chen
China's "assertiveness" is much discussed. What about the role of U.S. fear?

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