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U.S.-China conflict

Wargaming a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan: ‘Victory Is Not Enough’
January 31, 2023

Wargaming a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan: ‘Victory Is Not Enough’

By Mercy A. Kuo
Insights from Mark Cancian.

The US and China: Deterrence in the Danger Zone
January 14, 2023

The US and China: Deterrence in the Danger Zone

By E. John Teichert
Success depends on decreasing the perceived likelihood that a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would succeed, minimizing the perceived benefits, and increasing the expected costs. 
China Suspends Military Dialogues, Climate Change Talks With US
August 05, 2022

China Suspends Military Dialogues, Climate Change Talks With US

By Shannon Tiezzi
China's new diplomatic “countermeasures” to Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan strike at the Biden administration's priority areas for the relationship.

Can the US Deter a Taiwan Invasion?
May 01, 2022

Can the US Deter a Taiwan Invasion?

By David Gitter
Rethinking “strategic ambiguity” is important, but in the meantime Washington must compensate for its dwindling military advantage over China with more costly signals of political resolve.

US Strategists on the Advantages and Limitations of Sea Power
February 10, 2022

US Strategists on the Advantages and Limitations of Sea Power

By Francis P. Sempa
Most of U.S. assets and allies in the Asia-Pacific are maritime-based. History suggests that won’t be enough to overcome China’s continental advantage.

Stabilizing Great Power Rivalries
January 11, 2022

Stabilizing Great Power Rivalries

By Mercy A. Kuo
Insights from Timothy Heath.

A Case for China’s Pursuit of Conventionally Armed ICBMs
November 17, 2021

A Case for China’s Pursuit of Conventionally Armed ICBMs

By Roderick Lee
Circumstantial evidence suggests China might consider using its growing inventory of intercontinental ballistic missiles in a conventional strike role.
China’s Nuclear Gambit
November 06, 2021

China’s Nuclear Gambit

By Valerie Niquet
Don’t be distracted by the aerial incursions and naval build-ups – the real action is China’s nuclear build-up, in the hopes of deterring any U.S. intervention in a regional conflict.

Great Power Competition Doesn’t Have to Be Bad
July 13, 2021

Great Power Competition Doesn’t Have to Be Bad

By Fatih Oktay
China-U.S. competition could actually be a net good for the world – if the middle powers can steer it in the right direction.

US Firms Cannot Ignore the Growing Risks of a Possible China-US Military Conflict
July 02, 2021

US Firms Cannot Ignore the Growing Risks of a Possible China-US Military Conflict

By Sara Hsu
U.S. businesses need to consider the impact of a physical conflict on their Chinese production and distribution bases.

How Chinese Unmanned Platforms Could Degrade Taiwan’s Air Defense and Disable a US Navy Carrier
June 08, 2021

How Chinese Unmanned Platforms Could Degrade Taiwan’s Air Defense and Disable a US Navy Carrier

By Franz-Stefan Gady
A fictional war scenario showcases how emerging technological capabilities could be used in a future Sino-U.S. military confrontation over Taiwan.
Emerging Military Technologies and a Future Taiwan Strait Conflict
May 28, 2021

Emerging Military Technologies and a Future Taiwan Strait Conflict

By Ankit Panda
How will changes in military technology bear on a potential near-future U.S.-China conflict?

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