Tag
U.S.-China conflict

Will China Embrace Nuclear Brinkmanship as It Reaches Nuclear Parity?
By Michael Tkacik
In the future, China may incorporate nuclear weapons into its framework of political threats, intimidation, and even the use of force to achieve its international goals.

Even a Neutral Indonesia Could Get Dragged Into a China-US War
By Abdul Rahman Yaacob
Indonesia could unwittingly be drawn into great-power military conflict due to its strategic location, especially if a China-U.S. clash happens in Indonesian waters.

The World After a Great Power War
By Mercy A. Kuo
Insights from Miranda Priebe

Avoiding a Costly China-US Conflict
By Sara Hsu
A direct China-U.S. conflict would cause hundreds of billions or trillions of dollars’ worth of economic damage through business disruptions alone.

China Could Learn From Ukraine War – But on the Korean Peninsula, Not Taiwan
By A. B. Abrams
12 months of Western operations in Ukraine could hold valuable lessons for Chinese security interests in North Korea.

Wargaming a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan: ‘Victory Is Not Enough’
By Mercy A. Kuo
Insights from Mark Cancian.

The US and China: Deterrence in the Danger Zone
By E. John Teichert
Success depends on decreasing the perceived likelihood that a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would succeed, minimizing the perceived benefits, and increasing the expected costs.

China Suspends Military Dialogues, Climate Change Talks With US
By Shannon Tiezzi
China's new diplomatic “countermeasures” to Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan strike at the Biden administration's priority areas for the relationship.

Can the US Deter a Taiwan Invasion?
By David Gitter
Rethinking “strategic ambiguity” is important, but in the meantime Washington must compensate for its dwindling military advantage over China with more costly signals of political resolve.

US Strategists on the Advantages and Limitations of Sea Power
By Francis P. Sempa
Most of U.S. assets and allies in the Asia-Pacific are maritime-based. History suggests that won’t be enough to overcome China’s continental advantage.

Stabilizing Great Power Rivalries
By Mercy A. Kuo
Insights from Timothy Heath.

A Case for China’s Pursuit of Conventionally Armed ICBMs
By Roderick Lee
Circumstantial evidence suggests China might consider using its growing inventory of intercontinental ballistic missiles in a conventional strike role.
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