U.S.-China conflict

Strategic competition without adequate information risks misinterpretation, miscalculation, and unintended escalation.

The Battle of Leyte Gulf holds important lessons for a hypothetical China-U.S. naval clash – and Chinese strategists know it.

While the situations are not identical, the tactical and geopolitical parallels make the Falklands War worth studying in the Taiwan context.

A China-U.S. maritime conflict would heavily impact Southeast Asia – including in the cyber domain.

A persistent commitment to hedging in South and Southeast Asia raises concerns about U.S. force projection into the region during a potential conflict with China. 

China’s approach to deterrence involves compelling as well as dissuading, and is intertwined with the idea of “war control.”

In the future, China may incorporate nuclear weapons into its framework of political threats, intimidation, and even the use of force to achieve its international goals.

Indonesia could unwittingly be drawn into great-power military conflict due to its strategic location, especially if a China-U.S. clash happens in Indonesian waters.

Insights from Miranda Priebe 

A direct China-U.S. conflict would cause hundreds of billions or trillions of dollars’ worth of economic damage through business disruptions alone.

12 months of Western operations in Ukraine could hold valuable lessons for Chinese security interests in North Korea. 

Insights from Mark Cancian.