January 31, 2023
Wargaming a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan: ‘Victory Is Not Enough’
By Mercy A. Kuo
Insights from Mark Cancian.
January 14, 2023
The US and China: Deterrence in the Danger Zone
By E. John Teichert
Success depends on decreasing the perceived likelihood that a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would succeed, minimizing the perceived benefits, and increasing the expected costs.
August 05, 2022
China Suspends Military Dialogues, Climate Change Talks With US
By Shannon Tiezzi
China's new diplomatic “countermeasures” to Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan strike at the Biden administration's priority areas for the relationship.
May 01, 2022
Can the US Deter a Taiwan Invasion?
By David Gitter
Rethinking “strategic ambiguity” is important, but in the meantime Washington must compensate for its dwindling military advantage over China with more costly signals of political resolve.
February 10, 2022
US Strategists on the Advantages and Limitations of Sea Power
By Francis P. Sempa
Most of U.S. assets and allies in the Asia-Pacific are maritime-based. History suggests that won’t be enough to overcome China’s continental advantage.
January 11, 2022
Stabilizing Great Power Rivalries
By Mercy A. Kuo
Insights from Timothy Heath.
November 17, 2021
A Case for China’s Pursuit of Conventionally Armed ICBMs
By Roderick Lee
Circumstantial evidence suggests China might consider using its growing inventory of intercontinental ballistic missiles in a conventional strike role.
November 06, 2021
China’s Nuclear Gambit
By Valerie Niquet
Don’t be distracted by the aerial incursions and naval build-ups – the real action is China’s nuclear build-up, in the hopes of deterring any U.S. intervention in a regional conflict.
July 13, 2021
Great Power Competition Doesn’t Have to Be Bad
By Fatih Oktay
China-U.S. competition could actually be a net good for the world – if the middle powers can steer it in the right direction.
July 02, 2021
US Firms Cannot Ignore the Growing Risks of a Possible China-US Military Conflict
By Sara Hsu
U.S. businesses need to consider the impact of a physical conflict on their Chinese production and distribution bases.
June 08, 2021
How Chinese Unmanned Platforms Could Degrade Taiwan’s Air Defense and Disable a US Navy Carrier
By Franz-Stefan Gady
A fictional war scenario showcases how emerging technological capabilities could be used in a future Sino-U.S. military confrontation over Taiwan.
May 28, 2021
Emerging Military Technologies and a Future Taiwan Strait Conflict
By Ankit Panda
How will changes in military technology bear on a potential near-future U.S.-China conflict?