What the US Gets Wrong About Taiwan and Deterrence
By Michael D. Swaine
Rather than preventing a war with China over Taiwan, a policy centered on military deterrence could spark one.
The US and China: Deterrence in the Danger Zone
By E. John Teichert
Success depends on decreasing the perceived likelihood that a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would succeed, minimizing the perceived benefits, and increasing the expected costs.
Can the US Deter a Taiwan Invasion?
By David Gitter
Rethinking “strategic ambiguity” is important, but in the meantime Washington must compensate for its dwindling military advantage over China with more costly signals of political resolve.
The Difference Between Ukraine and Taiwan
By Francis P. Sempa
The arguments that U.S. credibility on Taiwan hinges on Ukraine is the latest version of the discredited domino theory.
A Tale of Two Crises: Why US Strategy in Ukraine Has Few Implications for Taiwan
By Scott Singer and Mathias Gjesdal Hammer
The strategic lessons to be learned in a potential Ukraine conflict are limited – and potentially misleading when applied to Taiwan.
Afghanistan, Taiwan, and America’s ‘Fighting Spirit’
By Andrei Lungu
Long before the Afghanistan withdrawal, China had become convinced that the U.S. does not have the stomach for a protracted fight over Taiwan.