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China 20th Party Congress

China’s Foreign Affairs Director Seat May Fall out of the Politburo
October 08, 2021

China’s Foreign Affairs Director Seat May Fall out of the Politburo

By Tristan Kenderdine
Without any strong contender emerging to replace Yang Jiechi, the next director of the Office of Foreign Affairs could be cut from the Politburo, opening a slot for a different party position.

Rural Affairs Specialist Han Jun Likely to Ascend to Vice Premier in 2022
September 17, 2021

Rural Affairs Specialist Han Jun Likely to Ascend to Vice Premier in 2022

By Tristan Kenderdine
Han Jun’s elevation to Jilin governor puts this rural policy careerist in strong contention for one of four State Council vice premier positions in 2022.
Chen Gang a Dark Horse to Lead China’s Strategic Technoindustrial Policy
August 31, 2021

Chen Gang a Dark Horse to Lead China’s Strategic Technoindustrial Policy

By Tristan Kenderdine
Chen Gang will likely enter the Politburo in 2027. His experience governing technoindustrial clusters will be a valuable skill set for top governance positions through the 2020s.

Shen Yiqin, Party Historian, to Bring Depth to CCP Politburo
August 24, 2021

Shen Yiqin, Party Historian, to Bring Depth to CCP Politburo

By Tristan Kenderdine
Shen Yiqin, a party history expert and representative of the emerging Guizhou faction, is the leading female candidate for Politburo promotion in 2022.

Emerging Ethnic Affairs Policy Specialist Chen Run’er Could Take Over as Xinjiang Party Secretary
June 14, 2021

Emerging Ethnic Affairs Policy Specialist Chen Run’er Could Take Over as Xinjiang Party Secretary

By Tristan Kenderdine
A low flier on a newly established institutional trajectory toward ethnic affairs governance, Chen Run’er could replace the infamous Chen Quanguo at the 2022 CCP Congress.

Chen Quanguo, Architect of Xinjiang Crackdown, Likely to be Rewarded With Central Position in 2022
June 07, 2021

Chen Quanguo, Architect of Xinjiang Crackdown, Likely to be Rewarded With Central Position in 2022

By Tristan Kenderdine
Xinjiang Party Secretary Chen Quanguo will likely see a promotion at the 2022 Communist Party Congress, perhaps to vice premier.

Zhao Kezhi’s Legacy Could Define China’s Regional Security Paradigm
April 12, 2021

Zhao Kezhi’s Legacy Could Define China’s Regional Security Paradigm

By Tristan Kenderdine
The 20th Party Congress will mark the end of Zhao’s CCP career, but his internal affairs policy will continue.
2022 Watch: Chen Yixin Likely to Become China’s Internal Security Commissar
April 07, 2021

2022 Watch: Chen Yixin Likely to Become China’s Internal Security Commissar

By Tristan Kenderdine
Chen, the head of Xi’s rectification campaign, is likely to ascend through a restrengthened Politics and Legal Affairs Commission.

China’s Ocean Policy Specialist to Miss Out on 20th Central Committee
January 22, 2021

China’s Ocean Policy Specialist to Miss Out on 20th Central Committee

By Tristan Kenderdine
Liu Cigui’s promotion from Hainan party secretary effectively takes him out of the running for the ultimate prize: membership in the CCP Politburo.

Is Institutionalism Still Useful in Elite China Political Analyses?
January 05, 2021

Is Institutionalism Still Useful in Elite China Political Analyses?

By Tristan Kenderdine
China's elite politics is ultimately unpredictable, but the party cadre system remains the most resilient political institution.

Politburo 2022 Candidate Analysis: Li Xi
December 29, 2020

Politburo 2022 Candidate Analysis: Li Xi

By Tristan Kenderdine
The Communist Party secretary of Guangdong province is a near-lock for the Politburo Standing Committee come 2022.
China Looks Ahead to 20th Party Congress in 2022
December 07, 2020

China Looks Ahead to 20th Party Congress in 2022

By Tristan Kenderdine
China’s elite politics begins the run toward the personnel changes of October 2022’s 20th Party Congress.

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