Tag
China elite politics
China’s Third Plenum Is Long Overdue. That’s a Red Flag.
By Zhuoran Li
The absence of the Third Plenum is consequential and dangerous for China; it both reflects a notable divide within the CCP and causes greater political instability.
Xi Jinping’s Balancing Acts: Short-Term Gain, Long-Term Pain?
By Michael Clarke
From the economy to diplomacy and internal politics, Xi appears to have simply kicked policy problems down the road.
China’s ‘Two Sessions’: More Control, Less Networking
By Jarek Grzywacz
The national political gatherings are losing their luster for China’s richest entrepreneurs.
Li Qiang: Does a New Premier Matter in Xi’s China?
By Dan Macklin
While the powers of the premier have subsided, Li Qiang’s importance may lie in his ability to be a moderating force.
Old Faces Dominate China’s ‘New Era’
By Jarek Grzywacz
With no space for a successor to Xi Jinping, China’s leadership is getting older as generational change slows down.
How Xi Jinping Used the CCP Constitution to Cement His Power
By Jarek Grzywacz
Xi’s eventual successor will face the problem of major revisions to the party constitution – meaning a complicated transition period.
The Ideological Shift Behind Xi’s Clean Sweep
By Dan Macklin
A multi-year effort has brought strongman rule back into the Communist Party liturgy.
China’s 20th Party Congress: The Implications for CCP Norms
By Ling Li
Revisiting the resilience of the age limit norm and exploring two counterfactuals.
What Institutional Norms Are Left After the 20th Party Congress?
By Jonathan Brookfield
The Politburo Standing Committee line-up brought a number of surprises, but Xi still seems to have operated within a broad institutional framework.
China’s Xi Expands Powers, Promotes Allies
By Joe McDonald
With all seven members of the new Politburo Standing Committee loyal to Xi, "There is no counterweight or checks and balances in the system at all."
China’s 20th Party Congress: A Downside Scenario
By Dan Macklin
If political turnover norms are abandoned, Xi could surround himself with compliant officials, raising the risk of policy missteps.
China’s Political ‘Coalitions of the Weak’
By Mercy A. Kuo
Insights from Victor C. Shih.
What to Watch for at the 20th Party Congress: The Leadership Shuffle
By Shannon Tiezzi
Five things to pay attention to as China's big leadership transition gets underway.
The Chinese Communist Party’s Ride-or-Die Moment
By Tyler Roylance
At its upcoming congress, the party will triple down on a leader whose policies are proving increasingly self-defeating.
China’s 20th Party Congress: An Upside Scenario
By Dan Macklin
Turnover norms for Beijing’s top governing body could check Xi’s power and boost pro-market reformers.
Can the Chinese Communist Party Congress Surprise Us?
By Bonnie Girard
Surprises are possible at the CCP’s most scripted event – but this year, any hopes for an “October surprise” are wishful thinking.
The End of Senior Politics in China
By Zhuoran Li
Xi Jinping is the first leader since 1978 not to be constrained by powerful elders in the CCP.
Mounting Problems Threaten to Dampen Xi’s Congress Victory
By Dan Macklin
China’s leader faces a litany of domestic and international challenges that are creating a gloomy backdrop to his anticipated reselection.
Elite Power Struggles After Stalin and Mao
By Mercy A. Kuo
Insights from Joseph Torigian.
Why a Xi Jinping Third Term Looks Secure
By Dan Macklin
From key personnel appointments to a surge in loyalty displays, all signs point to China’s leader continuing in power.
Why the Soviet Union’s 20th Party Congress Continues to Haunt China
By Zhenze Huang
A lesson from 1956 continues to affect China’s understanding of political security -- especially as the CCP's own 20th Congress draws near.
Russia’s Stalled Invasion of Ukraine: Lessons for China’s Leaders
By Zi Yang
Russia’s Ukraine invasion holds important takeaways for China about elite politics, foreign policy, and military affairs.
The Ukraine Invasion: What Lessons Is China Learning?
By Jianli Yang and Yan Yu
Xi Jinping is watching Ukraine with one eye on Taiwan. The West must give him reason to think any invasion would be disastrously costly.
Who Will Make It Onto China’s Top Leadership Body?
By Jonathan Brookfield
Answering that requires first answering another question: How much sway will previous norms hold in Chinese politics in 2022?
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