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U.S.-China conflict

Contemplating Naval Combat in the Western Pacific 80 Years After the Largest Sea Battle in History

Contemplating Naval Combat in the Western Pacific 80 Years After the Largest Sea Battle in History

By Lyle Goldstein
The Battle of Leyte Gulf holds important lessons for a hypothetical China-U.S. naval clash – and Chinese strategists know it.

The Falklands War of 1982: Lessons for a Potential 21st Century China-US Conflict Over Taiwan

The Falklands War of 1982: Lessons for a Potential 21st Century China-US Conflict Over Taiwan

By Martin Mitchell
While the situations are not identical, the tactical and geopolitical parallels make the Falklands War worth studying in the Taiwan context.
The Cyberspace Impact of a Maritime Crisis in Southeast Asia

The Cyberspace Impact of a Maritime Crisis in Southeast Asia

By Muhammad Faizal Bin Abdul Rahman
A China-U.S. maritime conflict would heavily impact Southeast Asia – including in the cyber domain.

The Problem of US Military Access in a Non-Aligned Indo-Pacific

The Problem of US Military Access in a Non-Aligned Indo-Pacific

By Lucas Myers
A persistent commitment to hedging in South and Southeast Asia raises concerns about U.S. force projection into the region during a potential conflict with China. 

Understanding China’s Approach to Deterrence 

Understanding China’s Approach to Deterrence 

By Michael Clarke
China’s approach to deterrence involves compelling as well as dissuading, and is intertwined with the idea of “war control.”

What’s Driving Taiwan’s Mass Protests?
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What’s Driving Taiwan’s Mass Protests?

Will China Embrace Nuclear Brinkmanship as It Reaches Nuclear Parity?

Will China Embrace Nuclear Brinkmanship as It Reaches Nuclear Parity?

By Michael Tkacik
In the future, China may incorporate nuclear weapons into its framework of political threats, intimidation, and even the use of force to achieve its international goals.

Even a Neutral Indonesia Could Get Dragged Into a China-US War

Even a Neutral Indonesia Could Get Dragged Into a China-US War

By Abdul Rahman Yaacob
Indonesia could unwittingly be drawn into great-power military conflict due to its strategic location, especially if a China-U.S. clash happens in Indonesian waters.
The World After a Great Power War

The World After a Great Power War

By Mercy A. Kuo
Insights from Miranda Priebe 

Avoiding a Costly China-US Conflict

Avoiding a Costly China-US Conflict

By Sara Hsu
A direct China-U.S. conflict would cause hundreds of billions or trillions of dollars’ worth of economic damage through business disruptions alone.

China Could Learn From Ukraine War – But on the Korean Peninsula, Not Taiwan

China Could Learn From Ukraine War – But on the Korean Peninsula, Not Taiwan

By A. B. Abrams
12 months of Western operations in Ukraine could hold valuable lessons for Chinese security interests in North Korea. 

Wargaming a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan: ‘Victory Is Not Enough’

Wargaming a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan: ‘Victory Is Not Enough’

By Mercy A. Kuo
Insights from Mark Cancian.
The US and China: Deterrence in the Danger Zone

The US and China: Deterrence in the Danger Zone

By E. John Teichert
Success depends on decreasing the perceived likelihood that a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would succeed, minimizing the perceived benefits, and increasing the expected costs. 

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