U.S. Taiwan policy

Regardless of who wins in January 2024, we can expect continuity in U.S. policy toward Taiwan and China.

The rush to find a China-U.S. modus vivendi on Taiwan often involves intentionally overlooking the unequal nature of “provocations.” 

Divergent interpretations of the status quo can coexist during peacetime. But with tensions rising, it's getting tricky to keep the balance.

The U.S. – along with Taiwanese people – draws the important distinction between de jure Taiwanese independence and the existing status quo of Taiwanese autonomy and self-governance. 

Insights from Martin B. Gold.

Despite emphasizing his commitment to bipartisanship, Kevin McCarthy’s current top priority is promoting partisan legislation and cementing Republicans as tough on China. 

Taiwan’s president will visit Guatemala and Belize – with stopovers in New York and Los Angeles on her way to and from Central America.

What do the Taiwanese people themselves think?

The KMT and CCP are seeking to optimize their cross-strait policies in advance of next year's Taiwanese election.

Insights from Mark Cancian.

Rather than preventing a war with China over Taiwan, a policy centered on military deterrence could spark one.