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U.S. Taiwan policy

What the US Gets Wrong About Taiwan and Deterrence
January 23, 2023

What the US Gets Wrong About Taiwan and Deterrence

By Michael D. Swaine
Rather than preventing a war with China over Taiwan, a policy centered on military deterrence could spark one.

10 Reasons Xi Won’t Attack Taiwan Anytime Soon  
January 20, 2023

10 Reasons Xi Won’t Attack Taiwan Anytime Soon  

By Hemant Adlakha
Yes, Chinese leader Xi Jinping has ambitions for absorbing Taiwan. But so did all his predecessors. 
The US and China: Deterrence in the Danger Zone
January 14, 2023

The US and China: Deterrence in the Danger Zone

By E. John Teichert
Success depends on decreasing the perceived likelihood that a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would succeed, minimizing the perceived benefits, and increasing the expected costs. 

Suppose the US Defeats a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan. What Then?
December 10, 2022

Suppose the US Defeats a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan. What Then?

By Connor Swank
A Taiwan conflict in which the United States and its allies win the battles but lose the war would not be a historical first.

The Taiwan Policy Act: More Than Just Defense Ties
November 04, 2022

The Taiwan Policy Act: More Than Just Defense Ties

By Kuan-Ting Chen and Lauren O'Connell
We should be talking more about the bill’s Taiwan Fellowship Program, which could reshape Taiwan-U.S. ties over the long term.

Correcting the Record on US Taiwan Policy
October 28, 2022

Correcting the Record on US Taiwan Policy

By Ben Lowsen
The important nuances of “strategic ambiguity” and other elements of U.S. policy are often lost in the headlines.

The ‘Taiwan Card’ in US Domestic Politics
October 20, 2022

The ‘Taiwan Card’ in US Domestic Politics

By Jiachen Shi, Andrew Devine, and Lin (Kirin) Pu
Democrats and Republicans are competing to show greater support to Taiwan, with real consequences for the U.S.-China-Taiwan triangle.
Why the Obvious Geopolitics of the Taiwan Policy Act of 2022 Matter
September 23, 2022

Why the Obvious Geopolitics of the Taiwan Policy Act of 2022 Matter

By Johanna M. Costigan
The bill is more about opposition to China than support for Taiwan, and is part of the broader securitization of Washington's Taiwan policy.

Making Sense of Biden’s Taiwan Policy
September 22, 2022

Making Sense of Biden’s Taiwan Policy

By Denny Roy
The Biden team thinks its adjustments to Taiwan policy will prevent a miscalculation by Beijing. Unfortunately, that may itself be a miscalculation.

US Moves Toward ‘Strategic Clarity’ Reveal Old Rifts in China-US Relations
September 22, 2022

US Moves Toward ‘Strategic Clarity’ Reveal Old Rifts in China-US Relations

By Kuan-Ting Chen and Joe Baldock
As President Biden doubles down on his commitment to defend Taiwan, the discrepancies between Chinese and U.S. interpretations of their foundational diplomatic policies are beginning to show.

Taiwan Strait Crisis Strengthens US Resolve to Support Taiwan, Counter China
September 10, 2022

Taiwan Strait Crisis Strengthens US Resolve to Support Taiwan, Counter China

By Robert Sutter
The Washington Consensus remains united and the direction of U.S. policy is clear.
There Is No ‘New Normal’ in the Taiwan Strait – Yet
August 30, 2022

There Is No ‘New Normal’ in the Taiwan Strait – Yet

By Gerrit van der Wees
While Beijing is certainly trying hard to push in the direction of a “new normal,” Taiwan and the United States are pushing back against that notion.

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