U.S. Taiwan policy

Yes, Chinese leader Xi Jinping has ambitions for absorbing Taiwan. But so did all his predecessors. 

Success depends on decreasing the perceived likelihood that a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would succeed, minimizing the perceived benefits, and increasing the expected costs. 

A Taiwan conflict in which the United States and its allies win the battles but lose the war would not be a historical first.

We should be talking more about the bill’s Taiwan Fellowship Program, which could reshape Taiwan-U.S. ties over the long term.

The important nuances of “strategic ambiguity” and other elements of U.S. policy are often lost in the headlines.

Democrats and Republicans are competing to show greater support to Taiwan, with real consequences for the U.S.-China-Taiwan triangle.

The bill is more about opposition to China than support for Taiwan, and is part of the broader securitization of Washington's Taiwan policy.

The Biden team thinks its adjustments to Taiwan policy will prevent a miscalculation by Beijing. Unfortunately, that may itself be a miscalculation.

As President Biden doubles down on his commitment to defend Taiwan, the discrepancies between Chinese and U.S. interpretations of their foundational diplomatic policies are beginning to show.

The Washington Consensus remains united and the direction of U.S. policy is clear.

While Beijing is certainly trying hard to push in the direction of a “new normal,” Taiwan and the United States are pushing back against that notion.