January 23, 2023
What the US Gets Wrong About Taiwan and Deterrence
By Michael D. Swaine
Rather than preventing a war with China over Taiwan, a policy centered on military deterrence could spark one.
January 20, 2023
10 Reasons Xi Won’t Attack Taiwan Anytime Soon
By Hemant Adlakha
Yes, Chinese leader Xi Jinping has ambitions for absorbing Taiwan. But so did all his predecessors.
January 14, 2023
The US and China: Deterrence in the Danger Zone
By E. John Teichert
Success depends on decreasing the perceived likelihood that a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would succeed, minimizing the perceived benefits, and increasing the expected costs.
December 10, 2022
Suppose the US Defeats a Chinese Invasion of Taiwan. What Then?
By Connor Swank
A Taiwan conflict in which the United States and its allies win the battles but lose the war would not be a historical first.
November 04, 2022
The Taiwan Policy Act: More Than Just Defense Ties
By Kuan-Ting Chen and Lauren O'Connell
We should be talking more about the bill’s Taiwan Fellowship Program, which could reshape Taiwan-U.S. ties over the long term.
October 28, 2022
Correcting the Record on US Taiwan Policy
By Ben Lowsen
The important nuances of “strategic ambiguity” and other elements of U.S. policy are often lost in the headlines.
October 20, 2022
The ‘Taiwan Card’ in US Domestic Politics
By Jiachen Shi, Andrew Devine, and Lin (Kirin) Pu
Democrats and Republicans are competing to show greater support to Taiwan, with real consequences for the U.S.-China-Taiwan triangle.
September 23, 2022
Why the Obvious Geopolitics of the Taiwan Policy Act of 2022 Matter
By Johanna M. Costigan
The bill is more about opposition to China than support for Taiwan, and is part of the broader securitization of Washington's Taiwan policy.
September 22, 2022
Making Sense of Biden’s Taiwan Policy
By Denny Roy
The Biden team thinks its adjustments to Taiwan policy will prevent a miscalculation by Beijing. Unfortunately, that may itself be a miscalculation.
September 22, 2022
US Moves Toward ‘Strategic Clarity’ Reveal Old Rifts in China-US Relations
By Kuan-Ting Chen and Joe Baldock
As President Biden doubles down on his commitment to defend Taiwan, the discrepancies between Chinese and U.S. interpretations of their foundational diplomatic policies are beginning to show.
September 10, 2022
Taiwan Strait Crisis Strengthens US Resolve to Support Taiwan, Counter China
By Robert Sutter
The Washington Consensus remains united and the direction of U.S. policy is clear.
August 30, 2022
There Is No ‘New Normal’ in the Taiwan Strait – Yet
By Gerrit van der Wees
While Beijing is certainly trying hard to push in the direction of a “new normal,” Taiwan and the United States are pushing back against that notion.