U.S. Taiwan policy

The Biden team thinks its adjustments to Taiwan policy will prevent a miscalculation by Beijing. Unfortunately, that may itself be a miscalculation.

As President Biden doubles down on his commitment to defend Taiwan, the discrepancies between Chinese and U.S. interpretations of their foundational diplomatic policies are beginning to show.

The Washington Consensus remains united and the direction of U.S. policy is clear.

While Beijing is certainly trying hard to push in the direction of a “new normal,” Taiwan and the United States are pushing back against that notion.

China’s military drills are over, but the risk of escalation remains.

Why did Pelosi go to Taiwan? Because Congress’ stance is particularly important for ensuring U.S. deterrence.

A preoccupation with showing resolve has long been hard-wired into U.S. foreign policy. But conspicuous restraint would reinforce the United States’ position as a responsible power – and head off an escalating crisis.

The U.S. House speaker’s long-reported trip to Taiwan has begun. In response, China announced upcoming military drills surrounding the island.

If “China can unify Taiwan while eliminating U.S. interference. This is the best scenario for China... The surrounding countries cannot help Taiwan.”

An interview with David Sacks.

The arguments that U.S. credibility on Taiwan hinges on Ukraine is the latest version of the discredited domino theory.