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China 20th Party Congress

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Emerging Ethnic Affairs Policy Specialist Chen Run’er Could Take Over as Xinjiang Party Secretary

Emerging Ethnic Affairs Policy Specialist Chen Run’er Could Take Over as Xinjiang Party Secretary

By Tristan Kenderdine
A low flier on a newly established institutional trajectory toward ethnic affairs governance, Chen Run’er could replace the infamous Chen Quanguo at the 2022 CCP Congress.
Chen Quanguo, Architect of Xinjiang Crackdown, Likely to be Rewarded With Central Position in 2022

Chen Quanguo, Architect of Xinjiang Crackdown, Likely to be Rewarded With Central Position in 2022

By Tristan Kenderdine
Xinjiang Party Secretary Chen Quanguo will likely see a promotion at the 2022 Communist Party Congress, perhaps to vice premier.

Zhao Kezhi’s Legacy Could Define China’s Regional Security Paradigm

Zhao Kezhi’s Legacy Could Define China’s Regional Security Paradigm

By Tristan Kenderdine
The 20th Party Congress will mark the end of Zhao’s CCP career, but his internal affairs policy will continue.

2022 Watch: Chen Yixin Likely to Become China’s Internal Security Commissar

2022 Watch: Chen Yixin Likely to Become China’s Internal Security Commissar

By Tristan Kenderdine
Chen, the head of Xi’s rectification campaign, is likely to ascend through a restrengthened Politics and Legal Affairs Commission.

China’s Ocean Policy Specialist to Miss Out on 20th Central Committee

China’s Ocean Policy Specialist to Miss Out on 20th Central Committee

By Tristan Kenderdine
Liu Cigui’s promotion from Hainan party secretary effectively takes him out of the running for the ultimate prize: membership in the CCP Politburo.
Is Institutionalism Still Useful in Elite China Political Analyses?

Is Institutionalism Still Useful in Elite China Political Analyses?

By Tristan Kenderdine
China's elite politics is ultimately unpredictable, but the party cadre system remains the most resilient political institution.

Politburo 2022 Candidate Analysis: Li Xi

Politburo 2022 Candidate Analysis: Li Xi

By Tristan Kenderdine
The Communist Party secretary of Guangdong province is a near-lock for the Politburo Standing Committee come 2022.
China Looks Ahead to 20th Party Congress in 2022

China Looks Ahead to 20th Party Congress in 2022

By Tristan Kenderdine
China’s elite politics begins the run toward the personnel changes of October 2022’s 20th Party Congress.

Who Will Be China’s Next Premier?

Who Will Be China’s Next Premier?

By Andrei Lungu
Because of the focus on what Xi will do in 2022, an important question has been ignored: who will take Li Keqiang’s place?

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