Myanmar elections

The biggest obstacle to the election will not be damage from the disaster but rather the fraught political position that prevails in much of the country.

Senior Gen. Min Aung Hlaing has promised to transfer power to whoever wins the election, but there are many reasons to be skeptical.

The six-month extension is intended to buy time for the military's long-promised election, but conditions in the country are not propitious.

The bloc says that any poll must be "inclusive," but it has limited power to deter the junta from its election plans.

Few groups are likely to heed the SAC's call for them to “communicate with us to solve political problems politically.”

Due to the security situation, a comprehensive census, let alone a multiparty election, will remain a remote prospect for the foreseeable future.

Despite the deteriorating security situation, junta chief Min Aung Hlaing remains committed to holding elections at some point next year.

Aside from further embittering the population toward the military junta, the disbanding of the former ruling party is unlikely to have much impact on Myanmar's downward trajectory.

The six-month extension is likely to delay the "elections" that the coup government was planning to hold by August.

The military junta's possible handover of power to a quasi-civilian "transition council" could create complications for the country's resistance forces.

Frequent resistance attacks have greatly complicated the holding of a stage-managed election this year.

The electoral exercise, intended to stabilize the political situation, will instead likely inflame the country's nationwide conflict.